TA Works : Part 2
Fully the Lonely Bull(y)
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WE ARE
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POSTING INFORMATION
Lonely????? 98% of this board is bullish and the miners have gone parabolic in an exhaustion sequence. It appears someone is buying 😉
That’s subjective …but I think it 50 : 50
There were 4 bears in agreement with your post below
For me…I have eyes wide open
I would get Bearish if an important chart line of support were breached on a chart with a significant time frame
( ie not an hourly)
$1300- 1320 should hold IF we get there
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24GOLD&p=W&yr=3&mn=6&dy=0&id=p80338464120&a=463716221
No sign of this as yet…but could happen.
Mark…every good trader has a line in the sand where they see they are on the wrong side…share yours please
What level would you bail on your shorts. Each of us has to decide this for each trade we are in .
We are at the point where my premise is wrong without a correction at roughly these current levels. For months, all the projections I have made for the current move have projected $1,371-$1,373 fib zone. I posted the chart link below a couple of months ago suggesting that once we clear $1,373 as new support that a quick move to $1,575 could occur. However it just isn’t statistically probable for that to happen on the first run. Look how many times it took for the $1,575 fib level to get broken as support….nearly 2 years. This was also a 38% retrace but from the high as the new DT became established. I realize many of you think things can vertical forever and this time is always different. It could be but odds say no. If $1,373 becomes new support then I’m on the wrong side of the trade.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24GOLD&p=D&yr=5&mn=2&dy=0&id=p24646870002&a=459337639
I think it is 50% confident bears and 50% scared bulls. I don’t think anyone on this board is buying GDX or any of the ETF’s right now. Many are holding their juniors and buying undervalued ones but I highly doubt anyone is chasing any of these miners that have soared. I have bids on some undervalued juniors right now that probably won’t get filled but wouldn’t even think of buying the majority of the mining shares right now, even though I think they are still undervalued for the most part.I am fully positioned so I don’t need to chase anything.
I live in Vancouver and have not heard a single person mention the amazing gains that have occurred in the mining sector. The general public has not even entered this sector. When the mining sector is hot I hear people talking about it. Not a single mining share I own is overvalued right now so I continue to hold.
Thanks for this interesting take Mike
Agree…..this is quite the thing to see…The most unloved Bull Market I have ever seen
I guess its human nature. There were many many calls for the Bottomz Inn from 2011 to 2016
And now everybody is calling Toppz Inn !
Personally the rocks are up 100%…gotta hedge that a little at least
I can’t speak to ‘who’ is buying (other than Soros, a few hedgies, china etc), however ‘Lonely’ is relative and sentiment here is no guage IMHO.
Not until I see adverts on this board or at least Fully gets offers for them, will I consider sentiment here representing more than a pico % of potential ‘public’ PM interest.
I’m guessing nearly everyone here are individual investors and enthusiasts who’ve at least been following PM’s since 2001 and earlier, maybe since 2008 but not very many who are considering adding PM’s to their portfolio for the very first time (a poll Fully?).
Also be careful getting lulled into what you think is classic chart pattern. One of the best trades I made this year was selling into strength on the day of the exact swing high in ORIG at 3.26. A classic cup and handle break out. The backtest has now failed. Honestly the whole commodities complex looks weak here and the $CRB may be backtesting broken support.
Here’s ORIG example: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=ORIG&p=120&yr=0&mn=9&dy=14&id=p34998363280&a=438086579
Have you ever seen a “Strong Backtest “..overshoots but doesn’t breakdown
Happens !
We anticipated a melt up once gold summit-ed Mount Plunger. Well, now we have it.
I expect the miners will pull back to at least tag the 10 day EMA. Its been an incredible ride so far. Buy and hold. Ride that Bull!
I’m sure of one thing, no one is buying anything at this time.
They (we) are all waiting for a strong retracement/pullback in PM stocks.
And I’m talking about the TINY crazy bunch of people like US !
The average investor not even know what “PM stocks” are!
In the gym just now, after six months from the bottom someone is asking me “how’s the gold?” nothing on silver, then if I name the gold stocks look at me as if I were from Mars.
“they look at me”
Now that classy music will calm our nerves. 🙂 Show our age too. LOL