COTS SCHMATZ
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OK now that we have your attention .
Madmax ..a new guy on the block has busted in here with a great big and convincing SCARRY COTS report
…Run for the Hills…..False breakout…..ho hum Just another bear market Rally
…He’s a sharp cookie though…using my own chart against me…sheesh
ECM…another new guy is an Armstrong Watcher …and Armstrong seems to still be leaning towards Sub 1000 gold
….Be careful we have not reached the time quite yet !
Even Trader Dan is sounding Cautious due to the COTs .
Most others here …posters and lurkers…are Bulls at this point in time …
BUT
1… some missed the first move and would welcome
a good old fashioned Gold Smackdown , to a Double Bottom to get back on the Gold Gravy Train back at the Bottomz Inn. Gentlemans Entry…but will you buy the bottom this time …when you didn’t the first time ?
2….Some , like Spock followers are looking at BIG gains in the Mini Miners already and are getting antsy to
SELL BEFORE THEY LOSE IT ALL AGAIN ! Run Forrest Run !
3…Some are in the Gold Markets and have been for a long time and are hoping / praying that this is a real move !
4…One thing for sure there are only a few who are relaxed as they see the Bull Unfolding COTS or Not and will add on positions with the pullback .
Personally I am a 2 …aspiring to be a 4
Anyhow could somebody please find a similar COT chart from 2009 thru 2011
That was the Gold Bulls last harah …I bet the COTS didn’t mean Anything back then…but lets look
into this…Community Weekend Project…what if the COTs are not predictive of anything in a Gold Bull market and only the open interest matters
Join the Cotversation
Hi Fully, I’ll post one when I have time this weekend. The comparable period is in 2007.
Siverback to the rescue
Good Timing
🙂
Conventional CoT analysis was bullish Gold at $1550 in 2012. The net spec pos was at a 4-year low. Then with Gold at $1412, the net spec pos was at a 10-year low. What happened? Gold crashed down below $1200 in the weeks ahead and had another 2.5 years in its bear.
One-dimensional thinking can kill a trade. You need to look at the full picture IMO.
combination of COT and share picture on the 120 min looks bearish short term to me… we shall see
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GDX&p=120&b=9&g=5&id=p22819074696&a=454701004&r=1460768827576&cmd=print
Chart 4 in my Post Below has a COT Surprise
Commercials were Caught Short to the tune of $700
per contract in 2010 2011