Signal vs. Noise in the Gold Market

Signal vs. Noise in the Gold Market

Is the Relative Strength in Gold Miners Significant?

Is the Relative Strength in Gold Miners to Gold Significant?

USD Super Cycle update

My longer term cycle view on the USD from my weekend reports which covered: Gold & Pm’s, Stocks & Bonds, Energy (Crude, NatGas & Uranium) and BitCoin / GBTC.

https://surfcity.co/2018/07/07/usd-bullish-or-bearish/

Gold Needs More than Bearish Sentiment…

Bearish Sentiment Can Only Take Gold so Far

US Dollar Outlook & What it Means for Gold

US Dollar Outlook & What it Means for Gold

Gold & Gold Stocks Fail at 200-Day Moving Averages

Gold & Gold Stocks Fail at 200-Day Moving Averages

More Pain ahead for Crypto’s

Watch out below if you are long this sector…

https://goldtadise.com/?p=430236

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-06-13/no-let-up-for-bitcoin-as-biggest-cryptocurrency-extends-decline

BitCoin & GBTC Update

From my weekend updates where I covered BitCoin/GBTC in addition to: Gold, USD, Stocks (SPX), Bonds (TLT), Crude Oil (WTIC), NatGas (UNG) and Uranium (URA). I also covered the Marijuana sector in my last mid-week update on June 4th.

I see more pain ahead for BitCoin and GBTC into their next Intermediate Cycle low sometime this summer.

https://surfcity.co/2018/06/10/bitcoin-gbtc-cycle-update-7/

Gold really needs stock market weakness more so than dollar weakness…

Stock Market More Important for Gold than US Dollar

This is When Gold Will Soar…

Have a high level of conviction on this but not as much conviction on the timing…

This is When Gold Will Soar…

Century Link (CTL) update for Vajra

Here you go. I decided to make this part of my Weekend updates as I plan to add next week before the Ex Dividend Date on June 1, 2018. Enjoy.

https://surfcity.co/2018/05/26/century-link-ctl-ira-update/

What’s Next for Gold…

What’s Next for Gold

Central Banks & Crypto Currencies

Enjoy…

https://surfcity.co/2018/05/20/weekend-reading-2/

HMLP update

While I am waiting for Gold to find its next Intermediate Cycle Low (ICL), my dividend stocks are doing quite nicely. Here is an update on HMLP. Steady Eddies without the drama.

https://surfcity.co/2018/05/18/hmlp-update/

Do you have an IRA Strategy?

Surf is Bearish on BitCoin & GBTC

Until the next Intermediate Cycle Low (ICL) which I expect sometime this summer.

https://surfcity.co/2018/05/18/bitcoin-gbtc-update-15/

Surf is Bearish on Bonds (TLT)

Interest rates have moved in a 60 year SuperCycle (low to low) going back to the time of Hammurabi in 1750 BC according to Martin Armstrong.  In any case, my long term cycle work shows that interest rates are likely headed higher for at least several more years. If correct, Bond prices (TLT), should be heading lower and that is what my Cycle & TA analysis shows.

I have been shorting them with success using TBT (2x short of TLT).My long term cycle work shows that interest rates are likely headed higher for at least several more years. Bond prices (TLT) then should be heading lower and that is what my Cycle & TA analysis shows. I have been shorting them with success using TBT (2x short of TLT).

https://surfcity.co/2018/05/15/bond-tlt-cycle-update-4/

Gold Smashed – did you get out in time?

Surf did yesterday (see trade alert below) and exited his long positions with a small profit. The price action out of the early May low never had the bullish impulsive upside structure he was looking for but he plans to be ready again at the next low.

Today’s “Surfs Up” post shows the time & price levels where I will be looking for the next low which should be Gold’s longer Intermediate Cycle Low (ICL). Remember that ICL drops are scary and run stops (I bet there were lots of them near the 1300 level). This is needed to turn investor sentiment bearish and will fuel the move out of Gold’s next ICL where I will be a buyer again.

Added: Gold chart showing how late in Gold’s longer Intermediate Cycle, price almost always tops on or before day 10 in Gold’s shorter Trading or Daily Cycle. Note where gold topped on day 8 right at my red cycle down trend.

https://surfcity.co/2018/05/14/trade-alerts-3/

What’s Missing for Gold?

The Missing Link for Gold

Gold’s Fundamentals are not Bullish…Yet

Gold’s Fundamentals are not Bullish…Yet

Nice Move in CVRR today

Boom! Nice move for a dull, Dividend focused Oil Refiner…

https://surfcity.co/2018/05/07/cvrr-update/

Do you have an IRA Strategy?

Surf does, and he offers it as a side benefit to his swing trading service.

Added: A quick table update on my IRA Dividend stock picks which are essentially Buy & Hold. The combination of good dividend yields & Capital Gains can steadily build wealth over time.

https://surfcity.co/2018/05/06/century-link-ctl-update/

Greg Weldon on Gold’s Technical & Fundamental Outlook

Greg is in my opinion the best Gold analyst. He examines the drivers better than anyone and backs it up with good TA.

Greg Weldon on Gold’s Outlook

Gundlach’s $1000/oz Upside

There’s no technical basis for it…

Is Jeff Gundlach Correct on Gold’s $1000 Upside?

What is Dr Copper signaling?

Enjoy.

https://surfcity.co/2018/04/28/dr-copper-looks-bearish/

Surf’s Up

Surf’s Up… and these are some charts I am watching.

https://surfcity.co/2018/04/26/surfs-up-51/

Silver Squeeze, Gold Fails & GDX Breadth

Silver Squeeze, Gold Fails & GDX Breadth

Juniors are Close to Breaking Downtrend From Feb 2017

Juniors are Close to Breaking Downtrend

Which is Right: Gold or Real Rates?

Which is Right: Gold or Real Rates?

It’s Not Yet Time for Gold

It’s Not Yet Time for Gold