Notwithstanding all of Israel’s tough talk and Biden’s repeated vow to defend Israel, Israel’s military campaign against Hamas, Hezbollah and Iran is turning into a real debacle. And things don’t look much better for the United States. The world is now in bona fide tenterhooks mode — i.e., nervously waiting for Iran’s promised military retaliation for Israel’s illegal bombing of Iran’s Consulate in Damascus a week ago. The 1961 Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations is unambiguous:

The premises of a diplomatic mission are inviolable and must not be entered by the host country except by permission of the head of the mission; likewise, the host country must never search the premises, may not seize its documents or property, and must protect the mission from intrusion or damage (Article 22). Article 30 extends this provision to the private residence of diplomatic agents.

So much for the “international rules-based order.” The United States, Britain and France blocked a proposed UNSC statement drafted by Russia that would have condemned Israel’s unlawful action. This sent the world a clear message — the Vienna Convention is worthless. Just days after the UNSC failed to uphold that Convention, Ecuador stormed Mexico’s Embassy in Quito and kidnapped an Ecuadorian politician who had been given sanctuary by Mexico.

The refusal of the U.S., the U.K. and France to uphold that key tenet of international law left Iran with only two options — do nothing to retaliate or retaliate. Looks like some form of military retaliation is in the cards. I do not believe that Iran will behave like Israel by striking an Israeli diplomatic facility. Instead, I think they will go after Israeli military assets.

Add to that the complete and utter failure of Operation Prosperity Guardian, as the U.S. Navy proved itself and a handful of “allies” impotent to re-open the Red Sea to maritime traffic and quell the Houthis from firing missiles at any ship trying to make its way to Israel.

Larry Johnson