Silver’s Stealth Surprise Surge Shock
Will this week set the stage for the three step breakout I have been describing in a number of posts? I would like to see a near $1 gain to at least the $23.60 area putting it above the 200 day mvg avg.
An upward bias for the week culminating in a strong Friday will be necessary.
Up until now, the three stages have never gotten to the second stage, which would be a strong Friday close with a sizeable weekly gain.
We would want to see a Friday close around $26-$26.50 That’s a big ask, but something like that would be necessary to set the stage for the third phase of the breakout scenario, a move first to, and within a few days through, the $26.50 price cap zone.
That would create the weekend set-up for silver (preferably a 3 day Holiday weekend, which this one will be.) . The third and final stage would be a big gap and run on the day after the holiday, taking silver to at least $30, by the end of next week.
Once that first breakout occurs, it sets the stage for a longer run to the $48-$50 area of the ATH’s. Volatility along the way from $30 to $50 should be expected.
I believe, my long held view that the breakout and follow thru would occur, on the Friday – Tuesday surrounding a three day Holiday weekend, will finally prove correct. A few false starts, but if the desired outcome becomes reality this weekend, well worth the wait!
Tomorrow(Friday) will be crucial. The PPI release will either negate the Powell, higher CPI BS narrative, OR it will be the final time a datapoint caps the metals rally. It may cause a sharp initial drop in the metals ,especially if they close up sharply and near their highs today. If my surge scenario is to play out, the buyers will come in the rest of the day on Friday so the necessary sharply higher Friday close will be accomplished and set up the explosive gap higher on Tuesday.
you following the jesse waters matt taibbi interview re
Trumps ‘binder’…..
on Fox
A game changer…..
Gary???
2 things kestrel
1…I’m Fully here …Not Gary
2…This thread is NOT related to THAT story…please remain on topic with comments
I posted JC take earlier
Sorry Fully.
I honestly did not realize.
In my mind I recollect your being the other name in comments….
I looked and did not see your posting the JC.
As far as staying on topic ….Im thinking this Taibbi & Fox coverage
could impact silver…
Wouldn’t you agree…??
Chartmaster… Just wanting to express my appreciation and thanks for your ongoing technical perspectives… Truly, Thank-you, Bill
My pleasure. Thank you.
Oh Lord hear our prayers.
Thanks CM – in support of your thesis, note the recent daily gaps up on gold at least once during each of the past four months, silver could do likewise at any time.
I think of the gap between Gold and Silver (GSR) as a rubber band – over the span of a few decades the range has been – 70’s to ’85 26-40 ; ’85 to ’18 45-80 ; ’19 to present 65-95+
FAR beyond it’s historical resting state between 15-25. silver is a GIFT at these levels – of course referring to physical.
https://macrotrends.net/1441/gold-to-silver-ratio
Silver’s distance from Gold was at 91 last week indicating silver was (and is) in fact a steal (today is at 88). Regardless of the $ value of either metal, for me the GSR is the best indicator of which metal gets safe haven long term savings. Like most who can’t be rich-all-at-once, the practice is to accumulate always but save a portion of dry powder when it takes 90+ ounces of silver to buy 1 oz of gold.
Consider that from last week, if say Gold fell to 1,950 (5%) and silver took a dive, say 10%+ to just over $20 – or even $19…. the GSR would go from 91 up to 97, an already stretched gap between the metals moving to an extremely stretched gap. This scenario is just a minor sell off in gold – consider what would happen (again from here at around 90 GSR) if gold took a 25% crash and silver at 50% (a la 2008-9 GFC) – GSR would be around 133 << would there even be silver available at that level (recall the disappearance of the metal for a few months early 2020 at GSR of just 126). Just my personal take – GOLD in a panic selloff may fall 15-20% at most (from here anyway) – it has far too many global eye's on it to fall as it did last decade (red flags everywhere).