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33% of Democrats Might Vote for RFK Jr. as Third-Party Candidate

1. Fullgoldcrown says:

   September 20, 2023 - 5:37 pm at 5:37 pm

   A quarter of Democratic voters favor Robert F. Kennedy Jr. in their party’s primary, and many would vote for Kennedy if he ran as a third-party candidate in 2024.

   The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 57% of Likely Democratic voters would vote for President Joe Biden in the 2024 Democratic primaries, while 25% would vote for RFK Jr. Only three percent (3%) of Democrats favor author Marianne Williamson in the primaries, while seven percent (7%) would vote for some other candidate. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

   If Biden is the Democratic presidential candidate in 2024 and Republicans nominate former President Donald Trump, while RFK Jr. runs as a third-party candidate, 33% of Democratic voters say it is likely they would vote for Kennedy, including 14% who say it’s Very Likely.

   The survey of 998 U.S. Likely Voters was conducted on September 14 and 17-18, 2023 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

   Among all Likely Voters, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is viewed favorably 49%, including 14% with a Very Favorable impression. Thirty-seven percent (37%) view Kennedy unfavorably, including 20% with a Very Unfavorable opinion. Fourteen percent (14%) are not sure.

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   Forty-one percent (41%) of Democrats have at least a somewhat favorable impression of RFK Jr., as do 56% of Republicans and 49% of voters not affiliated with either major party.

   Twenty-five percent (25%) of all Likely Voters say that, if Kennedy were a third-party candidate against Biden and Trump in 2024, it’s at least somewhat likely they’d vote for RFK Jr., including 10% who say it’s Very Likely they’d vote for Kennedy. Fourteen percent (14%) of Republicans and 28% of unaffiliated voters say it’s at least somewhat likely they’d vote for RFK Jr. as a third-party candidate.

   Among unaffiliated voters, if they vote in the 2024 Democratic primaries, only 26% would vote for Biden, while 42% would vote for Kennedy.

   A majority (54%) of voters under 40 view Kennedy favorably, including 20% with a Very Favorable impression of him.

   RFK Jr. is viewed at least somewhat favorably by 46% of whites, 51% of black voters and 56% of other minorities.

   Interestingly, liberals like Kennedy less than other voters do. Among self-identified liberal voters, only 31% have a favorable opinion of RFK Jr., compared to 45% of moderates and 62% of conservatives.

   Breaking down the electorate by income categories, 58% of voters earning between $30,000 and $50,000 a year have a favorable impression of Kennedy, compared to just 34% of those with annual incomes above $200,000.

   President Biden’s strongest supporters have the lowest opinion of RFK Jr. Among voters who Strongly Approve of Biden’s job performance as president, only 23% have a favorable opinion of Kennedy. By contrast, among those who Strongly Disapprove of Biden’s performance, 62% view Kennedy favorably.

   Concerns about election integrity remain high, with most voters worried that cheating could be a factor in next year’s election.

   If the 2024 election proves to be a rematch between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, many voters are open to voting for a third-party challenger.