Drip Drip Drip
HUI and the gang are bleeding….but just a little and very slowly.
The worst kind of market action IMO
keeps just enough hope for a turn.
Cycles guys see a turn here this week.
I dunno…but I don’t like it.
Polls
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POSTING INFORMATION
Yes we need a turn around soon. UP then another pullback and then off we go 🙂
Reminds me of the market from mid-1973-1974 sliiiide
I would never normally back my views against yours plunger, as you have been at this for a long time and know far more than I do about miners and PMs, but I am still looking at 2007/2008, so I am hoping for a bit more volatility until the autumn and then we are off. It could be as late as early 2018, but I hope not. Either way part of my portfolio is in this for the long haul now with a bunch of good juniors and explorers, so a bumpy ride is expected. I just hope the SM does not do something stupid like crash in the autumn, as that will take most assets down as per 2008 and then it will be squeaky bottom time.
I have my hat ready as I am sure I will need it. That’s to eat and not the tin foil one 🙂
You need to escape into a world of optimism Odd Job!
We are far too early in the credit cycle for another GFC – that will not happen until maybe 2026
Sure a mid cycle slowdown in 2020 will provide a great time to get set for the boom thereafter.
In the meantime wait for the ICL/YCL late Sep-early Oct
As for commodities just keep your eye on the AUD
We have had the mid cycle correction 2011-2015 now time for commodities to move higher as USD moves lower.
I would not normally comment but you seem like an intelligent person so time to shed the burden of pessimism!
Thanks Norvast. Apologies if I came across as being pessimistic, as I am really quite positive about PMs and miners over the next few years. I will admit I am not so positive about the SM. I backed myself in 2008 by getting out early in the summer and buying gold, so I cannot ignore the alarm bells ringing in my head now, but I will keep looking at your posts and those of others and will keep an open mind as much as I can.
Thanks for taking the time to post.
GDXJ rebalancing completed last week