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POSTING INFORMATION
The similarities between 1981 and 2011 are amazing as well as daunting if history decides to rhyme Spot Gold. The more I look at these charts the more I decide Gold and PM’s is a short term trade then with the realization that inflation hedges are long term trades?
I’d be very cautious with long trades………
Hold Phys and trade the Miners
That’s where I’m at. And short term also between 1 week and 8 weeks.
ditto ( however I do hold some Rock Bottom Rocks…cause when they go they don’t warn you)
Thank you sir!
Out of curiosity, I just did a $USD overlay on the above ratio. Whats interesting is the $USD was closer to its bottom than it was the top when the $INDU:$GOLD ratio was in its late 1987 low. (If) the $USD is in fact on its way down’ (I personally believe its is), then the $USD is currently closer to its top in relation to where the $INDU:$GOLD ratio currently sits. I’m obviously not qualified to know what that would mean or how things will play out. I find it to be interesting. Thanks for the post.
I expect history to rhyme not repeat. Time frames may be shorter or longer duration or not occur as expected. The theory I have been kicking around is that the two last Gold Bulls leading to Blowoff tops occurred after 4 conditions – 1) Long term price manipulation 2) Inflation 3) Significant Public/Speculator participation (Physical Buying) 4) Ten year uptrend leading to a parabolic top.
After the 80’s top there were 2 Mini BMR’s before a final bottom completing 20 years from the Blowoff. Are there going to be BMR’s after the 2011 blowoff? If so how many? At what level is the bottom in? And how long till the next 10 year Gold Bull blowoff top?