NATGAS
NATGAS on thin ice. Lower Green dashed line needs to Hold for NATGAS-BULLS. The 4 month pattern formation has the looks of BEAR FLAG suggesting NATGAS can see 2.00 again. DB coming?
Feed-in from last Friday.
IMO.DYODD.
Polls
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the looks of BEAR FLAG
Agreed. My work sees it that way.
And EW expects a (tortuous) w4 to follow a waterfall decline, not a V bottom.
I made some nice gains on that early August run catching about 90% of that move. Got back in at the 50% retracement of the move with a smaller position and bailed when it broke the 75% retracement. It’s deep retracement of the very early August low does not look well, been on the sidelines and will likely stay there for now. Have to agree that further downside looks likely now.
Looking at the candle pattern for the week of August 7th does suggest chart weakness. Notice that price failed to reach the resistance highs and has already turned lower making a second hit on support? That is a bad sign in my books. It means the next trend is down and I would expect the support to be broken.
Sorry about not answering your posts too much. I am often busy elsewhere so I only pop in for brief comments. But don’t be offended!