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Former President Trump is facing criminal prosecution in multiple cases, but a majority of voters don’t believe his legal problems will stop his campaign to win the presidency again in 2024

1. Fullgoldcrown says:

   July 27, 2023 - 7:35 pm at 7:35 pm

   The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 35% of Likely U.S. Voters believe the prosecution of Trump will hurt his chances of winning next year’s presidential election, while 23% think it will actually help his chances. Thirty-two percent (32%) don’t think the prosecution of Trump will make much difference for his chances in 2024, and another 10% are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

   A federal judge has set a May 2024 trial date for the federal case involving Trump’s handling of classified documents. Special Counsel Jack Smith is reportedly preparing a federal indictment of Trump in relation to the January 6, 2021, Capitol riot. And the district attorney in Fulton County, Georgia, is also reportedly pursuing criminal charges against Trump.

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   While 48% of Democrats believe the prosecution of Trump will hurt his chances of winning next year’s election, that belief is shared by only 24% of Republicans and 31% of voters not affiliated with either major party.

   (Want a free daily e-mail update? If it’s in the news, it’s in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

   The survey of 989 U.S. Likely Voters was conducted on July 23-25, 2023 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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   Most who voted for Trump in 2020 – 43% of those surveyed – don’t believe that the criminal charges against the former president will have a negative impact on his chances in 2024. Only 18% of Trump voters think the prosecution of Trump will hurt his chances of winning next year’s presidential election, while 39% say the prosecution will help his chances and 35% believe it will not make much difference.

   Forty-nine percent (49%) of all Likely Voters say it’s likely they will vote for Trump next year, including 33% who are Very Likely to vote for Trump. Forty-seven percent (47%) aren’t likely to vote for Trump in 2024, including 40% who say they are Not At All Likely to vote for him.

   Seventy-two percent (72%) of Republicans, 27% of Democrats and 48% of unaffiliated voters are at least somewhat likely to vote for Trump next year.

   Eighty-three percent (83%) of those who say they voted for Trump in 2020 say it’s likely they’ll vote for him again in 2024, including 60% who say it is Very Likely they’ll vote for Trump next year. Perhaps surprisingly, 18% of those who voted for President Joe Biden in 2020 say it’s at least somewhat likely they will vote for Trump in 2024.

   More women voters (37%) than men (33%) believe the prosecution of Trump will hurt his chances of winning next year’s presidential election. A majority of men (56%) are at least somewhat likely to vote for Trump in 2024, compared to 41% of women voters.

   Thirty-six percent (36%) of whites, 25% of black voters and 37% of other minorities think the prosecution of Trump will hurt his chances of winning in 2024. Fifty percent (50%) of whites, 41% of black voters and 48% of other minorities are at least somewhat likely to vote for Trump next year.

   Voters under 40 are more likely than their elders to believe the criminal charges against Trump will hurt his chances in next year’s election. Yet younger voters are also more likely than their elders to say they’ll vote for Trump in 2024.

   Breaking down the electorate by income categories, voters earning less than $30,000 are most likely to say they’ll vote for Trump next year. Those with annual incomes over $200,000 are most likely to think the prosecution of Trump will hurt his chances of winning in 2024.

   President Biden claims credit for record job creation, but most voters believe the economy has gotten worse. Of the top four figures in the U.S. House and Senate, House Speaker Kevin McCarthy is viewed most favorably by voters