Corona Virus Projection from early data in China
Quote
The Coronavirus infection rate is growth geometrically. Very predictable since China started offering data. It projects to 16k infected Fri and 88k next Mon Feb 3. The China Health Commission also gives us the number under quarantine. This is those with flu symptoms isolated and monitored. It is up 10x to 44K in the last five days. This is the inventory that will feed the continued geometric of infection rates.”
This model projected 200,000,000 cases by the last week in February
By now ( March 5) probably 300,000,000
As In Investment charts one must be careful NOT to extrapolate present rate of ascent with future rate of ascent.
This data is laughable. The fact that people think we could accurately know every case is more hysterical. This isn’t a border crossing where passports are exchanged and all data logged. Yearly the reported cases of flu are much higher. Most people don’t seek medical help
Can You Imagine the HYSTERIA if they reported every day all the cases of Flu from every county in the world and the accumulated deaths ?
And we could watch people dying by the thousands in real time with a click of the button.
Hundreds of millions of cases every year …up to 600,000 deaths EVERY year
That’s what we need a good Fluometer
sheesh
Also, here you go Fully. You are older but you got the right genes for this hand 🙂
https://www.zerohedge.com/health/chinese-scientists-find-genetic-explanation-coronavirus-discriminating-race
Well I don’t take any solace in that statistic …but they sure are digging deep to figure this all out .
It is amazing that Africa is not yet affected at all
Also look at How close parts of Russia and India are to China and they too are unaffected.
Information is accumulating at warp speed . Thats good
Thanks Fully, cooler heads will prevail.
Great job keeping it real!
We are PM traders we don’t need more reasons to be scared and depressed
🙂
Damn viruses, opportunistic little devils!
Some of them have just never see an enzyme they didn’t like!
Is this enzyme discrimination?
We should be investing in Toilet Paper, the new safe-haven. The range since Friday for both PG and KMB was 17%.
And T-P was still flying out of Costco today with carts 80% piled high with it, lol. You’d think the stuff was edible too.
Well we always say US Dollars are like toilet paper. apparently now folks actually prefer toilet paper
Why are the 70 and older folks, who would have the most difficulty with CoV, the least worried about it?
And it’s not just here; none of the older seniors that I know are the least bit hysterical about all this.
Probably have just lived through enough BS. I know I have.