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The Coronavirus infection rate is growth geometrically. Very predictable since China started offering data. It projects to 16k infected Fri and 88k next Mon Feb 3. The China Health Commission also gives us the number under quarantine. This is those with flu symptoms isolated and monitored. It is up 10x to 44K in the last five days. This is the inventory that will feed the continued geometric of infection rates.”

This model projected 200,000,000 cases by the last week in February
By now ( March 5) probably 300,000,000

As In Investment charts one must be careful NOT to extrapolate present rate of ascent with future rate of ascent.