Precious metals low in gold(?), socio-economics, Elliott Waves, etc.
I’ve just read these three articles,. Probably many of you have seen them but I thought I would post them here out of interest:
http://www.kitco.com/news/2018-07-26/Barron-s-Bearish-On-Gold-Why-That-s-A-Bullish-Development.html
https://www.socionomics.net/1999/06/science-is-validating-the-concept-of-the-wave-principle/
For some reason, I hadn’t, until today realized that the number of waves in an Elliott Wave structure is a Fibonacci number, regardless of the simplicity/complexity/order of the structure. That itself, is notable (2nd article) in my view as someone who “studied” maths at university as part of a Physics course many years ago.
As for precious metals: do you consider as in the first article that it is likely that gold is putting in a fairly major low here? Ross Clark’s analysis quoted elsewhere has suggested that it is an intermediate low but doesn’t specify the magnitude of any future decline and when the final low would arrive.
Northstar today shows a chart indicating that short sales of gold futures are at historically high levels right now!!
Thanks, Dave
Why “anticipate” a low ?
There is No chart evidence of a reversal.
There will be a reversal pattern If and When there is a low.
Why not wait until one is carved out ?
This sector is FULL of anticipated lows that never happen.
True. It’s necessary for someone to say that though, sometimes.
So we can’t “anticipate” a low or the magnitude of a low? Doesn’t Elliott Wave try to do this all the time by counting waves?
I’m just looking for people’s view on these articles really, not because of a particular bias on my part but because I want to understand the market action.
Agree Fully
Does a true TA investor base decisions on feelings and hopes? The recent 50/200 SMA $Gold death cross was ignored by many? The fact that Perma Bulls are wondering where it all went wrong is encouraging possibly but that’s not enough. I want to see it in the charts just my .02.