GDX Daily with Bullish Reversal Hammer…
Bullish Hammer
• Direction: Bullish
• Type: Reversal
• Reliability: Moderate
• After an established downtrend
• Hammer candles have a small real body that forms at the upper end of the days trading range
• The candle can be either blue or red, analyst usually do not differentiate.
• Lower wick at least twice as long as the real body
• No (or almost no) upper wick
After a bearish sell-off a significant rally brings price back up creating a long bottom wick. By day end buyers are able to push prices back to the upper range creating a short body.
The Hammer pattern signifies a weakening in bearish sentiment. The long lower wick signifies an initial continuation of the downtrend. However, renewed buying sentiment acts as support and drives the price higher to close near its opening price.
• Strength and Confirmation
The strength of a Hammer formation depends on where it appears. If a hammer forms near support levels, then the likelihood of a strong bullish reversal is high. However, if the hammer forms in the middle of a trading range it tends to have little significance.
In ideal conditions traders want the wick length to be several times longer than the body of the candle. The longer the candle, the more buyers were able to drive price back up and the stronger the bullish signal this candle provides.
1-2 week rally pending, me thinks…
At least till next Wed. Maybe more…
Many of these hammers are not occurring at the bottom of downtrends, they are occurring just outside a broken and bearish chart pattern. They are not looking like a candle that signifies exhaustion of a downtrend.
AU http://schrts.co/2gXUkX
FNV http://schrts.co/KahlAZ
GG http://schrts.co/jPGkLZ
GOLD http://schrts.co/pN4l88
As always, based on interpretation and where the lines are drawn:
Horizontal trend lines trump diagonal trend lines
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=AU&p=D&yr=0&mn=3&dy=0&id=p69441252456&a=423879313&listNum=1
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=ABX&p=D&yr=0&mn=3&dy=0&id=p04345030363&a=423879316&listNum=1
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=FNV&p=D&yr=0&mn=3&dy=0&id=p41491336139&a=423879319&listNum=1
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GG&p=D&yr=0&mn=3&dy=0&id=p47109092925&a=423879306&listNum=1
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=GOLD&p=D&yr=0&mn=3&dy=0&id=p52894182363&a=423879328&listNum=1
Nice contrasting viewpoints of the same stocks. Always good to have the bear and bull case known – easier to go with the subsequent action, I do believe.