BARRICK GOLD AND THE FORT KNOX AUDIT
Chris ..an astute Canadian Goldtent Lurker has a very interesting and well reasoned “Theory” which only a long time Gold Affectionado could have formulated
Very Interesting Sir Chris
see the First Comment
Chris ..an astute Canadian Goldtent Lurker has a very interesting and well reasoned “Theory” which only a long time Gold Affectionado could have formulated
Very Interesting Sir Chris
see the First Comment
Hey Fully
Gonna do some spitballing here…
Lots of talk around a Gold audit in the States these days. To coincide
with that, there has been confirmed reports of LOTS of physical Gold being
brought into the States over the last few months. Note that the inflows to
the U.S. began before Trump became President, and possibly before he was
even elected.
In parallel, there is the DOGE operation in full swing these days. They
seem to be taking a wrecking ball to wasteful? spending of U.S. tax
dollars to the tune of hundreds of billions. (I say wasteful(?) because
obviously the people lining their own pockets with all these billions
didn’t think it was “wasteful” at all – even if it was criminal in intent)
And just lately, we have Trump demanding $500billion in reparations from
Ukraine.
Taking all this together, I am left wondering; If these were the actions
of a large Corporation (which ironically the U.S. is), would anyone say
these are the actions of a healthy company, or the actions of a company
teetering on the edge of bankruptcy?
Trump is also talking about “leveraging” the assets of the Nation. More
accurately, he would be offering the very last assets the American people
own, to creditors, in exchange for more loans. This akin to taking a 3rd
mortgage on your home to keep up the minimum payments on your maxed out
credit cards. It’s desperation.
Back to the Gold… I have to assume there will be an audit because the
creditors of the U.S. have finally demanded proof of assets. That would
explain all the physical Gold that is being hastily moved to U.S, vaults.
My “Bigly” question here is: who will perform the audit, and how honest
will it be? Obviously there is going to be some Gold – the vaults aren’t
“empty”. The major question is who has claims to it, and when some of the
Gold is missing, who will be called upon to return the Gold they borrowed
(and subsequently sold). These questions are mute if the audit is just for
show and the deceptions continue as they have for the last many decades.
So tying into all this is Barrick. Barrick was created by Peter Munk and
went from a nothing Company to being the largest Gold company in the world
VERY quickly. How did that happen? What stars needed to align for an
unknown Hungarian immigrant to create the largest Gold miner in the world
from scratch in no time at all? In the 80s no less, when acquiring capital
was not the easiest thing to do. You can do your own research on that (you
will quickly find out that researching Barrick is not as easy as you would
assume).
The reason I am highlighting Barrick is this: In the 2000s, Barrick was
set to go bankrupt. With a rapidly rising Gold price, how in the world
could the largest Gold miner in the World possibly go bankrupt???
Because:”hedging”.
Hedging is in quotes because it was never about hedging at all. Barrick
was the main conduit for physical Gold sales in the 80s and 90s into the
open market. Gold that Barrick didn’t have. In fact, many times more Gold
than Barrick could ever dream of mining in a reasonable period of time.
Sooooo…. who’s Gold were they selling? Obviously, the supplier of all
those hundreds or thousands of tonnes of Gold weren’t concerned at all
with the return of their physical assets. Assets that were sitting there
doing nothing. Assets that were NEVER AUDITED.
The scheme worked wonderfully as long as the PoG stayed on a sustained
downward trend. The short term ups and downs would be papered over,
because after only a few short years, Barrick had sold enough $billions to
have quite the cash pile.
And then the PoG doubled. Then it doubled again! And again!! OOPS! Now
those margins weren’t looking so good. In fact; they were massively
underwater. Shareholders started asking questions… investigations were
being pushed… this was serious!!! The stock price was floundering when
it SHOULD have been skyrocketing!
SOMETHING needed to be done. Barrick was deeply compromised and the last
thing anyone wanted was an investigation. An investigation that would
expose the whole operation, and more importantly (or critically), expose
the players.
So what happened? Barrick made some public statements re; “everything is
under control” – we have arranged a “special” solution with our creditors
and now there is no more problem at all. Nothing to see here – move along.
So supposedly, all those IOUs were mover to a special “green” book – off
balance sheet. How the accountants and regulators squared that circle was
never made public. But note that the Gold debts were never publicly
forgiven – just moved out of sight. That was +/- 15 years ago. Lots of
Gold has been mined/sold/returned since then.
But wait! Just this week I see that Barrick is considering moving it’s
operations to the U.S.. Why would they do that? Perhaps because they are
being TOLD to move, by their creditors who are still owed many tonnes of
physical, and they don’t want a certain 51st state governor nationalizing
the very company that has a good portion of the Gold we intent to revalue
and leverage. “Deep Storage Gold” that can’t end up in the hands of a
government that sold all it’s Gold holdings previously.
I saw an interview last week in which the speaker claimed that a large
portion of all the Gold being imported in the last few months was imported
by commercial hedgers. By and large, commercial hedgers are the Miners.
With the rapid advance of the PoG over that last 2 years, you can be
certain that certain large miners are feeling some pain in their hedge
books (hedge books they swore off in the 2000s). I think all the movement
around the world of physical Gold is basically the real owners of the Gold
calling in their loans. The entities with “claims” on a lot of that Gold
must be sweating right now.
Like I said – spitballing… but if Trump actually does accomplish an
honest audit of the Fed and the Treasury (a BIG “if”), then there is going
to be lots of VERY interesting news in the Gold space.
Chris
Wow, a compelling case indeed. Thank you both !
If I remember correctly Jim Sinclair told us that Barrick’s hedging was what kept the POG down. Not a friend to Goldbugs.
Good comment.