Keep in mind this is just high level month-over-month.

Runs prior to 1980

1972 60% 11 months

1973 91% 8 months

1974 81% 6 months

1979 300+% 12 months

Post 1980

1982 55% 8 months

2005 59% 11 months

2007 50% 12 months

2009 50% 12 months

2011 50% 12 months

2020 50% 12 months

2025 45% 12 months (Feb isn’t over, $3k will ring the bell).

Reason I’m posting this is because I found it interesting that since the 70’s gold spike, runs seem to have been managed.  If anyone else wants to spend more time looking at this closer or challenging these approximations, please do.