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Interest rate super spike. The 70’s on steroids.
I have been preparing for this for a decade, more so in the last few years, the Covid tyranny having honed my urgency.
Prepared yes, yet many a ship has floundered in stormy seas. There is naught else that we can do but carry on – with courage and compassion.
Bring it on.
This is the prediction of EW w.r.t. rates as well.
A 40 year bull in debt valuation ended, and a first impulse that broke the LT trendline for USB is now behind us.
We are now in the initial retrace. Probably to back test that trendline.
Next is the first large crash wave (in prices).
Agree the 40 yr bond bull is over. Not sure how the long term is going to play out because you have two oppossing forces in play. If the rates spike it will cause a crash in the economy which would cause rates to fall. Therefore, likely to get a very choppy up and down market with interest rates probably making a series of higher highs and higher lows over a longer period of time. Trader’s market. As far as short term, this bond rally has more to go, AFTER a pullback likely starting today and especially on Monday if the 30 yr. auction is like the most recent one. The target is a gap fill on the TLT at 85 which could come on Monday or Tues. After that follow the chart but a rally to 92 and maybe 96 on signs the economy is weakening.
This vid should probably be pinned TO THE TOP of the que, not even on the sidebar.