I’m seeing an ever increasing number of Bullish Dollar predictions now. In an effort to maintain balance, here’s another way of looking at my view of things…

A move above 98 will give me some cause for concern though. A breakdown of the Dollar cycle would be interesting to see, and may well cause big problems for PMs, but It would take a convincing, sustained move above 98, and a corresponding move below $1220 in gold for me to think it likely. At this point I’m considering it a low probability outcome (but certainly not impossible). These sine waves/cycles are very powerful though, and not just a figment of a chartists imagination. They are very real, and there for a reason.