Mag 7 – Two Legs Gone – One To Go
The MAG 7 largely drove the stock market to new highs and had been holding up the market. As I outlined a week ago, META which had been up for twenty straight sessions was due to rollover and it now has. In the last five trading sessions, META dropped more than it rose in the final 14 sessions of it’s winning streak.
As I posted last Thursday, ( https://goldtadise.com/?p=652534 ) the stock market and the MAG7, topped and rolled over. The last leg of the stool that has been the main thing keeping the tech stocks from tanking, is the false narrative that they are going to still spend huge amounts of money on Capex in 2025 and 2026. That is the last metric they and the Wall Street analysts have to justify the false narrative of continued growth.
It was reported over the weekend that Microsoft was cutting back on data center investments. Because that would be devastating for the narrative and confirm the MAG7 and the market are finished, the company denied the report by a Wall Street research team. I believe the report and apparentaly, so does the market, given it’s continued weak trading action.
Now that the market has rolled over, and once it is down enough that it becomes clear to all the MAGS are no longer going to be making new highs, the companies will bite the bullet and cut their cap ex spending. There is no point in throwing good money after bad, once the narrative that was supporting your stock price, is no longer doing so.
The general stock market is done. We are due for a bounce, possibly today. I don’t think it will be very strong. Whether it declines in a series of drops and bounces, or just collapses, doesn’t matter. It is headed lower.
The rest of this week will be interesting. If it drops hard into NVDA earnings Wed. eve. that could be a catalyst for a brief bounce. If the bounce comes before their earnings, a NVDA disappointment on forward guidance could provide the excuse for a major smackdown.
PS: That Thurs post also provided a roadmap as to what was about to take place with Bitcoin and especially MSTR. Bitcoin today has taken out the next marker I had previously disscussed and after a likely bounce in the next day or so will be ready to challenge 85k. A break below that will lead to a freefall towards, and possibly thru, the 200 day mvg. avg. MSTR in premarket is in the low 260’s some 60+ points lower than where it was trading on Thursday. As I figured, that last financing did nothing to prop up Bitcoin’s price.
Notice how market futures aren’t rallying despite us approaching Nvidia earnings.
The big boys are selling the entire market while retail is buying thinking this is the bottom.
https://x.com/FinanceLancelot/status/1894284493399228870
Nvidia broke the number 1 rule of business. They became so arrogant that they’re treating their longtime customers like shit
People buying high end consumer products are usually in the tech industry, making decisions on server hardware buys
Boycotting $NVDA will become a thing
https://x.com/FinanceLancelot/status/1894238098487222378
Things are falling apart for Nvidia. Consumers are pissed off.
WATCH –> https://x.com/FinanceLancelot/status/1894230578540564931
Wasn’t aware of this specific technical issue but I did hear about some gamers complaining about overheating and melting components. I wonder if that is why they might be purposely removing some capability to lower the heat buildup? I don’t know, not my expertise. I do know the stock’s chart and trading shows it likely topped. It could get a pop after the earnings(I doubt it) but even if it does it isn’t going to last for long.
Nvidia to report earnings amid infrastructure spending, DeepSeek concerns
Nvidia reports fourth-quarter financial results on Wednesday after the bell.
Investors are wary of any signs that Nvidia’s most important customers might be tightening their belts after years of big capital expenditures.
This is particularly concerning in the wake of recent breakthroughs in AI out of China that suggested billions of dollars of Nvidia GPUs aren’t needed to train and use cutting-edge AI.
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/25/nvida-to-report-earnings-amid-infrastructure-spending-deepseek-concerns.html