Silver still has not made what I would term an impulsive move higher…
at least on the daily chart. Note how the 20 day Bollinger bands have stayed more or less fairly narrow but trending upwards along with silver–they haven’t splayed out as you would see on an impulsive move. Moreover, at least on the CME $silver chart, price has already tagged the 20 day MA, something I would associate with normal and very healthy corrective action.
All that so say I still think silver has at least one big upward thrust coming imminently in terms of the daily and weekly chart–one that I believe should take out the near term high around $35 fairly substantially.
I do believe the silver miners will continue to underperform based on their rather pathetic recent and distant history relative to the metal. Silver miners are basically a year behind the gold miners in terms of technical health.
(If you take a look at the $gold chart, it is also similar, unbelievably–it has been a very steady, relentless rise up to now.)
Also, a word of caution: these short term calls are nothing short of gambling. I am confident in my longer term thesis of silver breaching $50 this year, but day to day and even week to week calls are getting you closer to the roulette wheel.
Agree, methinks the German elections this weekend coming will decide direction as Armstrong wrote on. Scholz in and war drums continue but AFD equates to no war and the break up of the Euro sending the dollar higher. Earnings month with the usual sell the news crap on top of things.
Thanks, Nautilus!
“but day to day and even week to week calls are getting you closer to the roulette wheel.”
Key point here. Yes.
PS — Arnout te Shure noted that the NYSE A/D line just made a new high, so any final broad market final top is likely several years away. Perhaps a year for the last correction (wave 4) and then two more into a final (marginal wave 5) new high.
I am expecting a massive blow off top of epic proportions for the US market that lies ahead of us. If liquidity is maintained, I see no reason for the US market not to head to infinity in nominal terms. The Fed has conditioned us to buy the dip. There’s no such thing as a bear market anymore.