UUP
VERY substantial drop today, on sufficient volume to confirm AT LEAST a short term sell. (And this was what sparked RISK ON today)
At IT degree, and even “LT” degree, given EOM and all that, I believe these further signals are just around the corner.
MOST ALL of my inverse ETF trackers (SDS, SOXS, etc.) are by now registering IT trend reversal sells. (pending EOW)
The only fly in the ointment, is that we’re hitting certain WEEKLY indicator extremes that CAN cause reactions. (dead cats)
(Before the new trend resumes)
NOTE also that the VOL etfs on the daily are now below the 2sd bolly bands and near to tagging the 3sd band. Not common.
On my systems, any overthrows out of the 3sd band (at any degree) usually promptly trigger reversal signals (depending on which band they escape – upper or lower)
In EW land there remains strong conviction that the rally leg we’re in is CORRECTIVE.
And so we’re due for another decline to further new lows over coming weeks.
This UUP sell is at odds with that expectation.
A time wasting triangle/sideways wedge (through Sept) could be a way this resolves before the next major move. Need more clues here to settle on a firm view.
Thanks for your insights. pd!
Sir PD,
Seems the “strength” in DXY did not affect gold if you look at the last 6 months or so.
Also, in the short to intermediate term, what is your take on PMs?
Many juniors in my (severely beaten down) portfolio have again gained back 30-45% from recent lows.
If I remember correctly, there were some calls for PMs/miners to bottom near the third week of August. Are those charts showing signs of bottoming? Sir Nightingale, what’s your latest TA?
GL
US DOLLAR INDEX IN CHARTOLOGY TERMS HAS BROKEN OUT AND NOW A BACKTEST ( WITH A GAP TOO)
https://schrts.co/wwYfjDuM
UUP SIMILAR ( PERFECT BACKTEST SO FAR)
https://schrts.co/bwcTifXD
And if that read proves correct, then RISK ON will turn fleeting (in answer to GL).
Time to keep a close eye on UUP.