Need some help here.

If I take Mar 31 as the low at 1677 and the high on June 1 at 1919, a 50% retracement would be 1798.

If so, we are close to that level. Could drop lower.

I am of the belief that this cycle will produce an oversold condition leading to the Basel III in July.
The bullion banks may be covering their shorts and go long. Engineered??

Any thoughts would be appreciated.