Gold took out its Sept. 24th low…
That means the ICL is still ahead of us. Also, there is almost a 100% chance we will eventually make a low below today’s low (currently $1849). The 200 dma or 50 WMA are probably going to get hit now. Best to wait for a weekly swing low now before taking a stab at going long.
Given today’s backdrop, I find it exceptionally difficult to see how the next IC takes us to anything but a marginally higher high, and even that to me seems a little optimistic.
The IC after that one will probably take us over $2100, but I think it will drop right back into the $1900s at its ICL which I expect in late summer/ early fall of 2021.
At this point I am not expecting us to leave the 1900s behind for good until late 2021.
Doubt it.
There is fundamental shift starting.
Capital is starting to move into hard assets, equities … out of government bonds.
Why? Look around you at the mess of their making.