I’m not totally clear whether and when to use the 2, the 5 or the 60 to monitor the 13/34 EXPMA changes so I’m using all of them plus of course my JDST stop losses at the 200 day moving average
Sometimes a negative divergence is just a resetting of the indicators, which could turn out to be a positive. But the 13/24 is a good strategy. The 3x etf’s are killers. Even if you are right on gdx/gdxj price, if you get the time wrong, you still loose:
Yes, Kemmrich this is called a “reverse divergence”…indicators reset while the price continues higher. Carolyn, the 5 minute will not be as busy as the 2 🙂 right! All depends on how you want to play it.
Unfortunately I have to retrain myself!! I have trouble buying pullbacks (been more of a breakout type of guy). … and buying breakouts is much higher risk. That is while I have been short, I have reduce holdings and then bought back at higher jdst/dust prices. It is all an education.
DUST’s gains this last hour are rather impressive considering the fact that gold hasn’t broken down below that big support and resistance line that’s current at about $1099. I wonder if stock market trends are adding a little to the GDX’s drop.
DUST is basing at 32.97 with RSI pos div continuing to build. 34 MA repelled DUST first try…WAIT for 13/34 cross on 2 minute for confirmation. Also, just noted a possible BULLISH descending triangle in the making…breakout should be very soon.
I’m not totally clear whether and when to use the 2, the 5 or the 60 to monitor the 13/34 EXPMA changes so I’m using all of them plus of course my JDST stop losses at the 200 day moving average
Carolyn, do you see now why I like the 2 minute charts with these volatile ETFs?
Sometimes a negative divergence is just a resetting of the indicators, which could turn out to be a positive. But the 13/24 is a good strategy. The 3x etf’s are killers. Even if you are right on gdx/gdxj price, if you get the time wrong, you still loose:
GDX (ytd): -28.6% NUGT (ytd): -76.2 DUST (ytd): +27%
GDXJ (ytd): -20.73 JNUG (ytd): -76.2% JDST (ytd): -27% (??)
I guess JDST is the worst?
https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/101504714/pm_etfs.jpg
Completely agree Kemmrich. That’s why it’s especially important to buy support on a pullback as opposed to buying breakouts on these 3X ETFs.
Yes, Kemmrich this is called a “reverse divergence”…indicators reset while the price continues higher. Carolyn, the 5 minute will not be as busy as the 2 🙂 right! All depends on how you want to play it.
Unfortunately I have to retrain myself!! I have trouble buying pullbacks (been more of a breakout type of guy). … and buying breakouts is much higher risk. That is while I have been short, I have reduce holdings and then bought back at higher jdst/dust prices. It is all an education.
DUST’s gains this last hour are rather impressive considering the fact that gold hasn’t broken down below that big support and resistance line that’s current at about $1099. I wonder if stock market trends are adding a little to the GDX’s drop.
I suspect miners are leading the metal as usual. Looking for a more substantial gold drop next week.
neg divergence: you’re right again! 13/34 still looking solid (for now) on the 60 minute chart.
1214: I see a pos div building on RSI. Stoch 144 remains above 50 Stoch getting ready to leave 20
HEIKIN ASHI 5 minute showing trend change for DUST…up that is
DUST is basing at 32.97 with RSI pos div continuing to build. 34 MA repelled DUST first try…WAIT for 13/34 cross on 2 minute for confirmation. Also, just noted a possible BULLISH descending triangle in the making…breakout should be very soon.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=NUGT&p=60&yr=0&mn=0&dy=15&id=p40536684764&listNum=1&a=385256974
NUGT back test