MANIPULATION ?
I am sure Glad they locked up all those JP Morgan Crooks so they can’t manipulate silver Prices any more.
So now what’s the excuse ?
Perhaps just overbought ?
Polls
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No kidding Fully, What is the reason for this carpet bombing today? Seriously, can anybody float an idea? Crush the miners so they can rotate/rebalance into them end of quarter? I am going with that for now.
USD is surging out of a short term low or TCL/DCL.
I do not claim to know.
Quoted gold prices often decline, often badly, around Comex gold option expiration time for some reason or other.
Another thing — pure conjecture on my part to bring this in — is that according to a current Zero Hedge article the betting odds of a Trump impeachment have suddenly plummeted, supposedly because of what has been revealed. Perhaps the precious metals had gone up in anticipation of troubled times related to politics and are coming back down because things don’t look so exciting.
Perhaps a combination of whatever it is that seems to cause trouble with quoted gold prices around Comex option expiration time and a sudden soothing effect on the political chattering combined to cause a reversal of the recent jump. I wouldn’t know.
In any case, the big declines in Au prices at and just after Comex Au option expiration is so reliable that I usually time sales and purchases around it. I stupidly forgot and bought small amounts of some seniors Mon-Tues with some cash I had raised by selling some stuff a short time before.
Interesting how the PM stocks nearly all seemed to be in the red before the plummet in Au and Ag prices began with few exceptions such as those with good news like WDO.to. As is usual with such things they haven’t responded exceptionally badly once the Comex prices actually plummeted.
I should give credit to my source on Comex gold option expirations: “Jesse” of Jesse’s Cafe, who has his minuses and strong pluses–and plenty of charts for you chart enthusiasts. Yesterday he did not explicitly mention the nearly relentless association of downs of Comex PM prices with Comex Au option expirations, but I think he assumed his regular readers would assume a big decline today or tomorrow just by his reminder in the headline that the expiration was coming:
“Stocks and Precious Metals Charts – Variations on a Rococo Theme – Gold Option Expiration Tomorrow” was the title of his piece yesterday.
https://jessescrossroadscafe.blogspot.com/2019/09/stocks-and-precious-metals-charts_24.html
That other people found other reasons for a decline meant that the Comex magic was especially magical today. Perhaps the magic persists tomorrow? I had been thinking of getting a teensie tiny bit more WPM but I don’t know.
I’m just unable to know what’s going to happen next on the short to intermediate term, though I do know that there is often a bounce a day or two after Comex Au option expirations. Since I think the long term (6 month to multiyear) probabilities are good for Au and Ag, but for a combination of tax reasons and uncertainty I have lightened up on a little of the wilder stuff, I have been slowly buying a little bit of the seniors. I bought a tiny bit more WPM near the close today. I just don’t see how I can justify a strong opinion one way or another though on PMs or PM stocks with a rational argument other than a strong opinion that uncertainty is reasonable.
I could state a strong opinion forcefully. I just don’t see how I could argue it rationally.
Karl…I find Jesse’s cafe to be disturbingly freakish…what’s with all that stuff ?
sheesh
Trump Pump and Dump 🙂
Or, could it be that they are trying to thwart the moves coming out of China? This kind of news could set this sector on fire, headed towards explosive rises!
https://www.kitco.com/commentaries/2019-09-23/SWOT-analysis-Chinese-gold-company-on-the-hunt-for-a-2-billion-deal.html
I posted yesterday on Gold that I was still looking for a lower low into an ICL and that I thought this was just an oversold bounce so we shall see.
https://goldtadise.com/?p=449731
I agree next decline will be substantial in gold and offset any bullishness.
As every one giving their point view.
Here is mine.
I noticed Gold is closely correlated (-ve) to 10 Yr tresuries, than any other asset in the last 1 year.
I think gdx will go to 24/25level. After that sentiment will be negative enough for another 50%+ rally in gdx.