The ceasefire and negotiations are tearing through the Islamic Republic’s own base.
What was once controlled messaging has turned openly hostile, with rallies now filled with vitriolic attacks on regime figures.
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf, who is leading talks with the U.S., is being openly insulted and denounced by regime supporters.
He’s being called a “bastard” and a “freeloader” exposing deep fractures within the regime’s core.
https://x.com/TheIranWatcher/status/2042041569545531627
A fierce internal rift is erupting among Islamic Republic supporters over the ceasefire.
Many are openly calling negotiations and a ceasefire “treacherous” and “humiliation,” arguing the regime must confront Israel and the U.S. rather than compromise.
This rhetoric frames them as permanent enemies, rejecting any agreement outright.
What’s emerging is not unity or “victory,” despite propaganda efforts, but deep division and instability within the regime’s own base.
https://x.com/TheIranWatcher/status/2041983671775772901
IRGC propaganda is hurting them from within. The people don’t want to surrender because they believe they are winning. In reality, the ceasefire saved them from a catastrophe.
FGC – nice new source of info inside IRAN!!
Same source — U.S. officials have confirmed to Reuters that a large-scale Marine deployment from San Diego to the Persian Gulf region is underway.
https://x.com/TheIranWatcher/status/2041914733691875669
What are the chances that the 2 week ceasefire is timed to give logistics enough time to get troops to the war zone for “boots on the ground”? Possibly along the lines of striking while peace negotiations were still being held (02/28/26) – catch enemy off balance concept????? Certainly worked for the air phase where navy, air force etc were eliminated swiftly.
From 10 days ago — although a lot can change in 10 days — Pentagon preparing for weeks of ground operations in Iran — after Trump warned regime to ‘get serious’ about peace deal: report — https://nypost.com/2026/03/28/world-news/pentagon-preparing-for-weeks-of-ground-operations-in-iran-report/
I WAS THINKING THE SAME THING K2
The Islamic Republic calls this ceasefire “victory” because its only metric is survival.
It cannot and will not improve the lives of Iranians, so it uses propaganda to sell mere survival as success.
But look at the reality:
?? Strategic loss: US gains a 2 week window to control oil and gas markets and the regime loses its crisis leverage
?? Forced retreat: threats escalated to regime survival and rollback like 598 and JCPOA under collapse pressure
?? Impossible choice: accept 4 conditions halt enrichment, missiles, proxies and hand over uranium equals surrender or reject and war resumes
?? Leadership decimated: Khamenei, IRGC commander in chief, armed forces chief, defense minister, intel chiefs IRGC MOIS Faraja, Basij leadership, Shamkhani and Sepand heads all eliminated
?? Thousands of IRGC personnel killed and reliance on foreign militias like PMF and Afghan Fatemiyoun
?? Military collapse: IRGC Navy crippled, air force and air defenses near destroyed and skies controlled by US and Israel
?? Infrastructure wiped: petrochemicals, military industries, Basij bases and police command centers destroyed
?? Intelligence failure: top intel structure dismantled
?? Regional isolation: GCC aligned against the regime, Dubai sanctions route closed and Qatar ties turned hostile
?? Economic shock: war delayed costs now crashing onto a weakened system
?? Internal pressure: people still demand overthrow and post January a deep divide of blood, hatred and anger
?? Legitimacy collapse: abandoned civilians and became even more discredited
?? And this is not over: ceasefire does not mean the end of war and there are reports the US will push for capitulation demands
This is what a big defeat looks like in any circumstance, but when you cannot win wars and rely on a death cult support base, you redefine survival as victory.