Don’t get me wrong, I am happy the metals are up as I am fully long, but this rally is built on quicksand.  Another ugly candle yesterday on the HUI and yet another gap up today (probably to get filled at some point down the road).  Not only that but you have serious cloud resistance around the 312 level on the daily chart for basically all of February.  We are going to need an absolutely explosive rally to get through that level in the next month.  You can see why the slam down a couple of weeks ago was so damaging for near term prospects on the below chart.

Not saying it can’t rally from here and never look back (anything is possible in this crazy sector), but well, color me extremely skeptical.  I think we will be right back down to today’s level at some point.