ARE WE THERE YET ?
SHOUT OUT TO FARMER . HE CALLED FOR AN IMMINENT DROP IN SILVER ….A HARD DROP TO ~75 …AND BOOM…2 DAYS LATER …HERE WE ARE
ONE OF THE BEST CALLS SEEN AT THIS AUGUST TA PM FORUM EVER.
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If it goes below that then, the drop has a ways to go down.
Excuse the misplaced comma.
If price goes lower and CLOSES the day below 75 then it means the shit is about to hit the fan and the markets will finally roll over come Monday. In that case my downside target on silver is 40 dollars. I have no way of knowing where it will end tOday but the speed with which silver dropped has me quite concerned. Note that the DOW, NASDAQ and S&P are all in the red today. I think we may have reached our overdraft limit on the stock market. You may want to lighten up on your positions just in case but that is something only you can know about.
Thanks Fully. I have been analyzing charts for more than 20 years now. Every once in awhile I catch a trade that I am certain about. This was one of those. Let me chart the worst case scenario for you in the event we have a market correction since gold and silver and the shares are rarely spared when such things come about. I will get that out in an hour if I can find time.
My charts on the PMs support Plunger here on timing. I would say mid to late June (as of now).
But I think it will NOT be a wipeout. Just more of a grind and perhaps a deadcat next.
I also am “CONFIDENT” (famous last words) on my charts re the indices, that the bull has further to run.
Probably into autumn.
BUT … we are due for a correction, perhaps a sharp one, on the way there.
This looked like the start of it.
Then I saw how the VOLs were behaving. Its NOT time. YET.
Marcus, did Armstrong warn silver would take a dive?
He said gold waterfall likely this year, but not anything really about silver but up and eventually phase transition topping this year. I hope that didn’t already happen. In reality he was too vague to be of any help.
First I have heard of that! A gold waterfall would be a devastating blow to most metals enthusiasts. Silver typically is on the same trajectory as gold except worse. What is a phase transition? Topping does not suggest to me that more upside is in the cards. All of this is going to be stomache churning for anyone deeply invested in the sector. Anyway, thanks Marcus. That was helpful.
No warning from Armstrong on Silver…his model says the metals will rise with the market, and he has the market topping out in the last week of May, then down into June. Model is telling that international capital flows will be supportive of the US indices…
Thanks Hermit. I wonder then can it be that the topping out process came two weeks early?
Will be interesting to see how the structure looks over the next two weeks…if we get a nice bear flag, ima headin for the hills!
This latest drop coincided with T meeting with Xi.
Did they agree on another round for Iran?
Is that why crude is marching higher (from early Thur).
And that will drive PM costs up, and rates higher too.