AGNICO EAGLE
Looked like it was leading the charge
But alas…looks like an FBO ( False breakout) unfortunately
Usually this is very bearish
Shoot the messenger
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Goldfields Ltd (GFI) has done a similar move as this, last week; with a bearish shooting star candle on the weekly chart.
An article last week said that Friday was options trading quadruple witching day. Does the fact that these moves on AEM and GFI occurred on the quad day mean anything? I’ve read previously that you should basically ignore market movements on quad-witching day as it’s too volatile to have predictive powers re: anything……….??
WIKIPEDIA
Quadruple witching refers to a date on which derivatives of stock index futures, stock index options, stock options, and single stock futures expire simultaneously. … Quadruple witching days witness heavy trading volume, in part, due to the offsetting of existing futures and options contracts that are profitable.
I don’t know about that..It’s possible I guess
BUT This type of Chart Pattern is almost always bearish
If 1900 to 1920 Gold goes ..I am playing Defence
Kewl2, To answer your question, everyday is the same and equal. Just go by the chart. The fact that it is quad witch, or FED day or a news event like an earnings release is irrelevant. What matters is the actual price action and the chart pattern. Labelling the day or what caused the price action is just noise. That is why I agree with Fully that the chart says bearish (at least in short term).
For those that follow me over at Rambus, I have been out of the PM stocks (excluding core position) My model calls for a further drawdown in this correction. The psychology has been amazing as bugs have loaded up here recently. Today they get hurt. But AEM is one of the leaders in the group. When this move finds it’s bottom I will be buying LT options in AEM. I feel it will continue to lead the move upward. Earnings will power it.
Some perspective for comparison sake. Both AEM and NEM are fantastic gold companies. Both stocks recently reached their old ATH before pulling back with the rest of the miners. Both will be going on to new ATH’s in the next leg of the gold bull market. I don’t know which will out perform.(Probably very similar returns going forward) Since NEM trades at 5 times sales and yields 1.5% and AEM trades at 8 times sales and yields 1%, I prefer NEM. One could own both and both are excellent leaders, just some perspective.