The big one
Miners have already broken out – leading the way. Spot gold prices are right at the 2011 downtrend line ($1290ish). Weekly bollinger is expanding upwards, a good sign. Next week will be crucial.
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This is one of the charts we’ve all been watching. I wonder if we’re going to breakout today…
We will. If have started a beard from the high of 2011, it probably could have wrapped warm my neck.
USDJPY is having a dead cat bounce at the moment…..which sent miners/gold down at the open(right now).
I remember Wazcam’s saying about “Mr.Market” not wanting anyone to join him for the ride. So maybe it won’t be by the most obvious route…small dip early next week then a break through? I can’t see it falling all the way down because of Trump’s USD comments yesterday which will probably set the stage for longer term USD weakness. But a relief bounce on USDJPY ?? Who knows. All very short term obviously.
At this point I agree Nick. Global tensions, French elections, Italian banks, Greek issues, Debt ceiling, Trumps comments, I could go on. The point is that the macro picture, and especially real interest rates just will not allow for much downside in gold, whilst the upside potential is impressive. Something drastic would have to happen to push gold down very far. I’m still intrigued by the commercial v speculator positions in silver. Something not right there.