Fibonacci Follow-Up
This is a follow up to this previous post- https://goldtadise.com/?p=385402 to try and show some similarities in the current set up and the lead up to the Oct 28th 2015 Fed meeting. In this gold chart you see a series of Fib, Fib twin, and Lucas series numbers leading to the 28th.
In reviewing this time period I did notice something that I didn’t pick up on in the past. GDX bottomed 55 bars after the 10-28 fed meeting and the election falls 377 days after the 10-28 meeting.
Also note the 21 day decline(21 day and 21 bar Advance/Declines are common) after the 28th.
In this chart you can see the Fibonacci fingerprints even more prominently leading up to the 8th and 9th. Usually when I see this kind of activity pointing to a certain date then a violent resolution will be arriving on that date. In this case the 9th. Also take note that the GDX has a low on the Oct 11th, if you add 21 bars to that you get Nov 9th. If resolution comes to the downside then you might expect a 13 bar or 21 day decline to Nov 28th or the 30th with an outside chance it doesn’t bottom until 12/16. This would also sync up with a 21 week correction in Gold from the 7-6 high. But that’s all speculation if price chooses the downside, it could go up but this move up feels kind of corrective. I expect the true move to launch on 12/16. I hope this makes a shred of sense but it’s kind of hard to explain.
let me get try to get this straight. Mankind is a natural phenomenon, having sprung from the natural world. Therefore the rhythm of his works are in tune with the natural world which in turn vibrates to the rhythm the Fibonacci sequence, a symphony of numbers, so to speak. If that is so I cannot grasp why of it. It is beyond my ken. And yet I cannot dismiss the idea out of hand. Am awaiting 2016- 11-30 with keen anticipation. Thanks for the great charts.
Hey, well put. I appreciate the fact that you don’t blindly dismiss. I don’t what will happen, just when, kidding of course. But that is the frustration that Norvast speaks of, and it makes perfect sense to me now. I can make an honest case for gold going to 1215 or 1400. As of now I vote down. If nothing happens on 11-9 or 12-16, I might retire this timing endeavor. lol
That is why I answered the last survey I find gold “a great hobby…endlessly fascinating”!
Excellent work again my friend.
There is no doubt that gold marches to the tune of Fibonacci & Lucas, turn dates repeat (I call them “historical dates”) like 17 Mar, 15 Oct, 07 Nov etc, and gold turns generally in and around seasonal dates like 06 Nov, 18 Nov, 29 Nov etc.
I turned my attention a few years ago to Fibonacci triangulation in order to get a better handle on the “polarity” of these turns and that method remains a very useful tool in my kit-bag to hone in on the critical turn dates.
Like your brilliant work Schism I also noticed that turn dates were Fibonacci/Lucas numbers apart, whether they be calendar days or trading days.
So as your charts above illustrate we get things like…
17 Mar 2015 + F610 calendar days = 16 Nov 2016
07 Nov 2014 + F754 calendars days = 30 Nov 2016
When Surf introduced me to Bressert cycle analysis my endless fascination for these numbers found a “home” so to speak as I now only concentrate on the key or critical dates at a DCL or ICL or DCH
So where are we at the moment?
I am unsure!
Gold is about to turn as it is in the timing band to form a DCH and move lower.
There are however a couple of instances, namely the 24 Jul 2015 ICL and the 03 Dec 2015 ICL where gold made very little progress out of the ICL for 10-13 calendar days and then went on to make a DCH 10-13 calendar days beyond the normal timing band.
The 07 Oct DCL/ICL (?) has a similar pattern so far…
Using my Fibonacci triangulation technique I can make a case for this DCH to be extended to 15 Nov before falling to a 27 Nov DCL – that would be bullish IMO
I can also make a case for us to roll over here to a DCL or ICL on or around 27 Nov – that would be bearish (until that ICL is made).
I agree that early this week will give us the direction!
Again fascinating post!
Thanks Norvast and Schism….I don’t understand all of this as yet …but I sense your excitement with this new found methodology…keep em coming…..going back to re read in case I get lucky
🙂
Here are the lucky dates…for gold
After the late Nov-early Dec low we should see..for gold
08 Dec high
18 Dec high
29 Dec low
08 Jan high
Those dates 08 Dec and 18 Dec highs in gold will correspond with the SPX lows, and they may be very low (brutal) if we form a DCL this week leaving one full cycle to go for SPX into an ICL
Thanks for the compliments, means a lot coming from your discerning eye. I voted for the same thing. Now, if I only had time to devote to my obsession, maybe some day. This is a particularly tricky time. As I mentioned to Fox I can make a legit chart and argument for both bull and short term bear. I was hoping market would tip its hand by running hard into the date as those usually end up getting reversed hard. I would think a run up on gold Tuesday would be a shorting opp. Also been working on some other charts as well, was working on this last nite but didn’t include in post as it felt I was already on the verge of overkill. I suspect this chart has many more unearthed clues but I haven’t been able to check all the angles yet.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/WtC1p7qT/