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What a surprise – still can do charts!!
Can’t kick the habbit
🙂
I love this Fully/Farmer duel. I’m not in either corner – well to be frank, I think gold is going a lot higher, but a nice correction is in order. Duel on my brothers! Like I said, I love it!
Sweet charting. Is it a rabbit?
I’ve been away with family medical issues but just getting caught up on this intermitent thread.
I find myself clearly in the FGC camp – Farmer’s technical charts log, linear etc are all measured against the dollar.
What is the USD doing in terms of the ratio against gold unit growth? Gold production is limited to around 2% annually, dollar growth – well…. we all know – “2% is the baseline”.
Greater than zero inflation over 2% (which has become a CPI lie in itself as a result of goal-post moves) by definition exceeds gold ‘production’. Are we going to ever see 1200 gold again which was less than a decade ago? I think not – not withstanding the collapse of EVERYTHING in which case gold should be measured in terms of what it can buy and not against paper promises, Gold will not lose value against the dollar as we know it (pre-CBDC rollout). I’d also say that the SWOONS in the gold price say after 1980 and 2011 are SHORT TERM in the grand scheme – 20yrs is only a quarter of a lifetime and half of a person’s ‘earnings’ years – during which of course we shouldn’t be putting all the eggs in this one basket. Until dollar creation ceases, gold will not fall against it in a long term manner.
https://www.macrotrends.net/2485/gold-to-monetary-base-ratio
1796 to current – GOLD in USD terms. Yea, we’re never going back until the USD is replaced, just like hundreds of other currencies (See EB Tucker’s Why Gold, Why Now appendix list).
https://www.longtermtrends.net/mining-stocks-vs-gold-and-silver/
Great chart FGC and an excellent analysis by YYZ. If it rhymes with the ten years between 2001 and 2011, we are at least one year away from a top. As far as price proections that is harder to pin down. At a minimum, I see $2700 (as Sir Farmer has suggested in some of his analysis) but if we take the 8 fold increase from approx $250 to the $1900-$2000 from that previous ten year bull, we could be looking at $8000. Throw in the fact that this time probably includes the end of the US dollar as the reserve currency or at least a global revaluation of the gold price and return to gold as the monetary standard and $10K would not be surprising.