PM Stocks- If this is a bull market I would hate to see what a bear market looks like
I have mentioned this previously as a possibility and appears to be unfolding that this may end in an annihilation drive.
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Completely agree. Why waste time in the miner space? Make money in the energy stocks. I am in PBF and ERX. I am absolutely counting on the idiots in the green movement driving up the cost of anything carbon.
Retards for Biden!
I think pipelines running out of the Gulf, should impose destination excise taxes based on the pattern of voting their states cast on Carbon taxes, and Climate Change bills.
Pedro, I would like to hear your analysis again of the PM’s finding a bottom early next year. I could see this happening where we get a bottom over the next 2-3 weeks and then rallying out for the rest of the year then retesting or going to new lows next year. Is that what you are seeing? Would like to hear your argument for this.
Yes, that is my take. I have no crystal ball, of course.
One part of that is EW on SPX, which I have in a w4 consolidation nearing an end.
That means w5 up is next, and the finale. But its more than just w5 off the covid lows, its off 2009 lows at higher degree, and possibly more.
If so, then when SPX tops, we go into liquidation mode and margin calls, perhaps on rising rates.
At that point, we play it by ear.
I’ll PM you with some more on that this w/e. Be on watch for it. pedro out.
“PM’s finding a bottom early next year” I ignored that statement, but agreed with the rest. I have FINAL PM bottoms quite a ways off yet. More like 2023-25. With interim relief bounces along the way.
I agree.
To add insult to injury though, the US stock market continues to just go up and up and up. Heads I win, tails you lose. Fed jawbones, gold drops $50 while the Dow stays at the very worst flat to higher.
No clue where the miners are headed, but my guess barring a miracle now would be a trip to the 200 WMA now which is within spitting distance now anyway. After that, you have the 400 WMA.
It absolutely sucks given the “macro” backdrop. It’s hard to imagine a more bullish set of drivers for gold, yet here we are.
“It’s hard to imagine a more bullish set of drivers for gold, yet here we are.”
I have the opposite take.
I look at the world thru a CREDIT lens. As in PEAK CREDIT. EVGe is the poster boy.
Peak bonds, peak debt, peak Everything Bubble. PMs are just gold canaries.
Norway raised rates today.