Things are getting hot for Ukraine’s Green Goblin. We’ve been fooled before, but this time it seems like an Avengers-style endgame may be in sight. Yesterday, the New York Times reported, “Russia Turns to Striking Kyiv’s Bridges, Threatening a Vital Lifeline.” The bridges over Ukraine’s massive north-south river, the Dnieper, which bisects the country, have always been the strategic final straw. To borrow Professor Rebouche’s comment, “That it’s taken this long is kind of remarkable.”
I’m just a lawyer. I am not a military expert. But one of the few things I know about war strategy is that geography matters. Put simply, Ukraine is cut in half by a gigantic river. All its military assets —soldiers, tanks, guns, drones, robots, artillery, or Slavic obscenities in strongly-worded letters— enter the war-torn country from the west, through Poland, Romania, and the Black Sea port of Odessa.
All of those sources for war material are located west of the Dnieper River. To reach the eastern half of Ukraine, where all the fighting is, they must cross one of the bridges. No bridges, no war. It’s not complicated. It “would be a logistical nightmare for Kyiv and the whole country,” the Times conceded. “Bridges in the capital carry all kinds of food and equipment across the Dnipro River, which runs north to south through Ukraine and splits the country in two. There would be few alternatives if they closed.”
This poses two baffling mysteries. The first unexplained phenomenon that has flummoxed the West’s military experts is why, until now, Russia has refrained from attacking the key conduits allowing Ukraine to supply its military forces in the eastern theater. For nearly five years, Russia has studiously avoided dropping even a stick of dynamite on Kiev’s bridges.
The second and even more baffling question is why, knowing that a handful of bridges were the difference between staying in the fight and outright losing, Western war planners have flooded Ukraine with cash, advisors, and military assets but never shored up the bridge problem. It is downright embarrassing. Turns out Kyiv’s bridges were a bridge too far for war planners’ imaginations.
Ukraine, like it always does, made it easy for the Russians. Not only did they fail to build backup bridges or pontoons or even crews of rowboats, but they started off the war with a maniacal focus on blowing up Russia’s Kerch bridge, an equally strategic asset that is almost pier-for-pier comparable in importance to Ukraine’s bridges.
I’m not exaggerating. For practically the war’s entire first two years, corporate media ran breathless articles, one after another, about Kyiv’s heroic efforts to blow up the Kerch Bridge with drones, missiles, boats loaded with dynamite, truck bombs, saboteurs, and underminers of every conceivable shape and description. Ukrainians giddily put up posters and even made a collectible postage stamp depicting a destroyed Crimean Causeway.
They never knocked it down. The Kerch bridge stands. But the Russians built a backup highway just in case. It’s a long drive, but it would work.
The point is: the bridge-blowing-up idea was always right there. They were literally trying to do it to the Russians. They did it first. How could the West have completely missed the awful peril posed to Kiev’s own, arguably more important ones? Why practically invite the Russians to blow up Ukraine’s sitting-duck bridges, if for no other reason than payback?
In the vacuum of any sensible explanation from Western experts, we are left to conclude that they simply couldn’t imagine it. They got lazy. When the Russians refrained from bridge attacks for nearly five years, they assumed the Russians couldn’t or wouldn’t do it.
But the Russians were just being patient.
? How awfully have the experts failed Ukraine? The failure of imagination has been so spectacular that corporate media has long gushed about how things are so peaceful in the capital city of Kiev that you can’t even tell the country is at war. This happy state of affairs allowed constant streams of Democrat politicians, from elderly Nancy Pelosi down to small-time rural district congressmen, to visit Zelensky for photo ops and collect whatever gifts might be scattered around their luxury accommodations.
But now, “the relative safety Kyiv enjoyed through most of the war — demonstrated by crowded cafes and nail salons — is over,” an angry Times reported. Cafes and nail salons! Behold their brave sacrifice. “The enemy is destroying Kyiv,” the city’s mayor and former world heavyweight champion, Vitali Klitschko, complained on Telegram on Friday. Especially the nail salons. “It is no longer possible to pretend that we can live as we did in peacetime!”
Nearly five years on, “Drones now buzz over the city all day, setting off near-constant air raid alerts.” Equally ironically, corporate media has long celebrated Ukraine’s attempts to buzz Moscow with drones. Headline from the Associated Press, July:
Once again, Ukraine, advised by Western military experts, led the way. Once again, they did it first, without ever considering that the Russians could do the very same thing. Now its nail techs are paying the price. How can Zelensky now complain about the Russians finally returning his flying favors? Don’t answer that.
So the bridges are one thing. They represent a kind of strategic crossing, a final, invisible red line that the Russians refused to cross until last week. But that’s not even the whole story. As usual, the Times buried the lede. In an anguished article about the inconveniences posed to Kiev’s commuters by closed bridges, it finally got around to admitting that the bridge operation is just one part of a sweeping new phase in the war:
In short, Russia has cracked open the can of whoop-ass. But wait. It gets so much better. Recall my story yesterday about Trump’s sovereign wealth fund and possible plans to end income taxes. It’s already back.
? Behold. Purely coincidentally, just as Russia is beating the stuffing out of Zelensky, finally attacking the key strategic bridges Ukraine needs in order to fight at all, and depriving the capital city of its peaceful slumber and its essential nail salon services, just as all that is happening, here came Trump’s peace envoys to meet with President Putin to do a deal. Headline from the New York Times, also yesterday:
You would think the New York Times would celebrate a potential peace deal that would end the horrible Ukraine war. Nope. Instead, it fretted that somebody in Trump’s orbit might make money. (I know, but set aside your ready memories of all the money fraudsters and corrupt politicians have been hoovering up for years.)
But I am more interested in the part that benefits us. Recall yesterday’s discussion about the unprecedented private investments that have so far given the U.S. government a stake in at least 40 projects and companies around the world.
What would you say if I told you that, from the way the Times described this, it looks like Trump is negotiating not just the end of the endless war but also another massive deal to benefit the American people? Here’s the Times’s stingy description; read it for yourself:
This is so far beyond The Art of the Deal that it nearly defies description. Imagine what I will be writing if Trump not only convinces the Russians and Ukrainians to stop fighting, but also gets us “a substantial upfront payment”— and also cuts us into the “profits interest.” I ask you: Who else could pull something like this off?
If even half true, it is breathtaking.
This might be Trump’s biggest deal yet, as big as the Venezuelan deal, which the President called “the biggest oil deal in World history!” The Times itself called the proposal with the Russians a “giant transaction,” which, by the sparse details disclosed in the story, appears to be an oil agreement that spans the entire world, from Africa to Europe to New Jersey.
You wondered how Trump could possibly fund a $1 trillion dividend in $5,000 checks to every American citizen? I offer you: Volodymyr Zelenskyy (two y’s).
Let’s connect dots. First of all, think about how the Times discovered this deal and the details that it does have. I’ll give you a hint: it wasn’t a leak, because eight sources were cited and none were described as whistleblowers. It wasn’t the Times’s crack investigative squad; don’t make me laugh. The story included quotes from both Trump administration officials and also someone who was in the room during a Putin meeting in the Kremlin.
It could only be because the Administration told them. We don’t know why, but at least it means they are ready for the deal’s existence to become public.
Now consider the timing. Two things are happening at once: (1) Russia is dramatically escalating the war, and (2) Trump is dramatically escalating the dealmaking. It’s no stretch to assume that, if Russia is finally ready to end the war, it would intentionally increase the pressure on Ukraine— to compel it to agree.
In other words, it’s one thing for Zelensky to relax in a crowded nail salon in Kiev, sipping his Pumpkin Spice Frappuccino, wearing his comfy green sweats, and bravely say “not one inch.” It is quite another for him to watch the bridges burning, be forced to paint his own fingernails, all while drones are constantly buzzing overhead.
Given the war’s glacial pace until now, it is very difficult to imagine a peace deal closing before the midterms. But it is only difficult to imagine, not impossible. Imagine it. It would be a midterm argument for the ages. The long, hard war ended. A giant upfront payment to the US. A deal with continuing profits. Win-win-win.
The mere fact that we can imagine it at all is perhaps the most astonishing evidence of the unique times we are living in. Enjoy them to the fullest.
Things are getting hot for Ukraine’s Green Goblin. We’ve been fooled before, but this time it seems like an Avengers-style endgame may be in sight. Yesterday, the New York Times reported, “Russia Turns to Striking Kyiv’s Bridges, Threatening a Vital Lifeline.” The bridges over Ukraine’s massive north-south river, the Dnieper, which bisects the country, have always been the strategic final straw. To borrow Professor Rebouche’s comment, “That it’s taken this long is kind of remarkable.”
I’m just a lawyer. I am not a military expert. But one of the few things I know about war strategy is that geography matters. Put simply, Ukraine is cut in half by a gigantic river. All its military assets —soldiers, tanks, guns, drones, robots, artillery, or Slavic obscenities in strongly-worded letters— enter the war-torn country from the west, through Poland, Romania, and the Black Sea port of Odessa.
All of those sources for war material are located west of the Dnieper River. To reach the eastern half of Ukraine, where all the fighting is, they must cross one of the bridges. No bridges, no war. It’s not complicated. It “would be a logistical nightmare for Kyiv and the whole country,” the Times conceded. “Bridges in the capital carry all kinds of food and equipment across the Dnipro River, which runs north to south through Ukraine and splits the country in two. There would be few alternatives if they closed.”
This poses two baffling mysteries. The first unexplained phenomenon that has flummoxed the West’s military experts is why, until now, Russia has refrained from attacking the key conduits allowing Ukraine to supply its military forces in the eastern theater. For nearly five years, Russia has studiously avoided dropping even a stick of dynamite on Kiev’s bridges.
The second and even more baffling question is why, knowing that a handful of bridges were the difference between staying in the fight and outright losing, Western war planners have flooded Ukraine with cash, advisors, and military assets but never shored up the bridge problem. It is downright embarrassing. Turns out Kyiv’s bridges were a bridge too far for war planners’ imaginations.
Ukraine, like it always does, made it easy for the Russians. Not only did they fail to build backup bridges or pontoons or even crews of rowboats, but they started off the war with a maniacal focus on blowing up Russia’s Kerch bridge, an equally strategic asset that is almost pier-for-pier comparable in importance to Ukraine’s bridges.
I’m not exaggerating. For practically the war’s entire first two years, corporate media ran breathless articles, one after another, about Kyiv’s heroic efforts to blow up the Kerch Bridge with drones, missiles, boats loaded with dynamite, truck bombs, saboteurs, and underminers of every conceivable shape and description. Ukrainians giddily put up posters and even made a collectible postage stamp depicting a destroyed Crimean Causeway.
They never knocked it down. The Kerch bridge stands. But the Russians built a backup highway just in case. It’s a long drive, but it would work.
The point is: the bridge-blowing-up idea was always right there. They were literally trying to do it to the Russians. They did it first. How could the West have completely missed the awful peril posed to Kiev’s own, arguably more important ones? Why practically invite the Russians to blow up Ukraine’s sitting-duck bridges, if for no other reason than payback?
In the vacuum of any sensible explanation from Western experts, we are left to conclude that they simply couldn’t imagine it. They got lazy. When the Russians refrained from bridge attacks for nearly five years, they assumed the Russians couldn’t or wouldn’t do it.
But the Russians were just being patient.
? How awfully have the experts failed Ukraine? The failure of imagination has been so spectacular that corporate media has long gushed about how things are so peaceful in the capital city of Kiev that you can’t even tell the country is at war. This happy state of affairs allowed constant streams of Democrat politicians, from elderly Nancy Pelosi down to small-time rural district congressmen, to visit Zelensky for photo ops and collect whatever gifts might be scattered around their luxury accommodations.
But now, “the relative safety Kyiv enjoyed through most of the war — demonstrated by crowded cafes and nail salons — is over,” an angry Times reported. Cafes and nail salons! Behold their brave sacrifice. “The enemy is destroying Kyiv,” the city’s mayor and former world heavyweight champion, Vitali Klitschko, complained on Telegram on Friday. Especially the nail salons. “It is no longer possible to pretend that we can live as we did in peacetime!”
Nearly five years on, “Drones now buzz over the city all day, setting off near-constant air raid alerts.” Equally ironically, corporate media has long celebrated Ukraine’s attempts to buzz Moscow with drones. Headline from the Associated Press, July:
Once again, Ukraine, advised by Western military experts, led the way. Once again, they did it first, without ever considering that the Russians could do the very same thing. Now its nail techs are paying the price. How can Zelensky now complain about the Russians finally returning his flying favors? Don’t answer that.
So the bridges are one thing. They represent a kind of strategic crossing, a final, invisible red line that the Russians refused to cross until last week. But that’s not even the whole story. As usual, the Times buried the lede. In an anguished article about the inconveniences posed to Kiev’s commuters by closed bridges, it finally got around to admitting that the bridge operation is just one part of a sweeping new phase in the war:
In short, Russia has cracked open the can of whoop-ass. But wait. It gets so much better. Recall my story yesterday about Trump’s sovereign wealth fund and possible plans to end income taxes. It’s already back.
? Behold. Purely coincidentally, just as Russia is beating the stuffing out of Zelensky, finally attacking the key strategic bridges Ukraine needs in order to fight at all, and depriving the capital city of its peaceful slumber and its essential nail salon services, just as all that is happening, here came Trump’s peace envoys to meet with President Putin to do a deal. Headline from the New York Times, also yesterday:
You would think the New York Times would celebrate a potential peace deal that would end the horrible Ukraine war. Nope. Instead, it fretted that somebody in Trump’s orbit might make money. (I know, but set aside your ready memories of all the money fraudsters and corrupt politicians have been hoovering up for years.)
But I am more interested in the part that benefits us. Recall yesterday’s discussion about the unprecedented private investments that have so far given the U.S. government a stake in at least 40 projects and companies around the world.
What would you say if I told you that, from the way the Times described this, it looks like Trump is negotiating not just the end of the endless war but also another massive deal to benefit the American people? Here’s the Times’s stingy description; read it for yourself:
This is so far beyond The Art of the Deal that it nearly defies description. Imagine what I will be writing if Trump not only convinces the Russians and Ukrainians to stop fighting, but also gets us “a substantial upfront payment”— and also cuts us into the “profits interest.” I ask you: Who else could pull something like this off?
If even half true, it is breathtaking.
This might be Trump’s biggest deal yet, as big as the Venezuelan deal, which the President called “the biggest oil deal in World history!” The Times itself called the proposal with the Russians a “giant transaction,” which, by the sparse details disclosed in the story, appears to be an oil agreement that spans the entire world, from Africa to Europe to New Jersey.
You wondered how Trump could possibly fund a $1 trillion dividend in $5,000 checks to every American citizen? I offer you: Volodymyr Zelenskyy (two y’s).
Let’s connect dots. First of all, think about how the Times discovered this deal and the details that it does have. I’ll give you a hint: it wasn’t a leak, because eight sources were cited and none were described as whistleblowers. It wasn’t the Times’s crack investigative squad; don’t make me laugh. The story included quotes from both Trump administration officials and also someone who was in the room during a Putin meeting in the Kremlin.
It could only be because the Administration told them. We don’t know why, but at least it means they are ready for the deal’s existence to become public.
Now consider the timing. Two things are happening at once: (1) Russia is dramatically escalating the war, and (2) Trump is dramatically escalating the dealmaking. It’s no stretch to assume that, if Russia is finally ready to end the war, it would intentionally increase the pressure on Ukraine— to compel it to agree.
In other words, it’s one thing for Zelensky to relax in a crowded nail salon in Kiev, sipping his Pumpkin Spice Frappuccino, wearing his comfy green sweats, and bravely say “not one inch.” It is quite another for him to watch the bridges burning, be forced to paint his own fingernails, all while drones are constantly buzzing overhead.
Given the war’s glacial pace until now, it is very difficult to imagine a peace deal closing before the midterms. But it is only difficult to imagine, not impossible. Imagine it. It would be a midterm argument for the ages. The long, hard war ended. A giant upfront payment to the US. A deal with continuing profits. Win-win-win.
The mere fact that we can imagine it at all is perhaps the most astonishing evidence of the unique times we are living in. Enjoy them to the fullest.
I hope it happens — too many people being murdered while little (if any) truth found in official news reports.