HORMUZ
Been doing a lot of reading of the situation. This is an attempt To distill the information…
Trump and Comp used the Negotiating” Window ( aka MOU CEASFIRE) TO REST THE MILITARY AND RESTOCK AND RELOAD AND REORGANIZE AFTER A LONG PERIOD OF SURVEILANCE AND ARE NOW bombing the shit out of all military installations in the area of the Strait including the Islands , Storage areas for drones and mines , Control Towers, Rocket launchers speed boats fishing boats …everything …non stop bombardment. It’s a literal massacre and Iran has no way to mitigate .Iran issued an edict that no one is allowed to film the devastation but lots of video and photos are emerging .
Next ( starting today) they are targeting the infrastructure ( bridges / rail routes that Iran uses to resupply their fortifications . there is some talk that there will be marines deployed to Karg Island and the other Islands once what’s left of the Iranian Military assets are DESTROYED sufficiently . This is being openly discussed by the Iranian “Strategists ” whether or not it happens…they believe it will
This operation is likely what the respite was all about. The Americans knew that the negotiations would fail because the negotiators have zero control over the IRGC. The Iranian Negotiators were lead to believe they would immediately receive Billions of frozen assets if they stood down in the strait and they convinced then IRGC of this for a short time. …Effectively The whole MOU thing was a Sting Operation Which is why it seemed so Iran Friendly…It was never going to be implemented .
The Iranians know they have been had and have threatened to take it out on the neighbors…but so far mostly talk and no action . The US Military can see every square inch of the country via Space Force.
And the Bottom Line..this was always the plan…US controls all the Shipping Chokepoints in the World except Hormuz ( Panama Canal , Suez Canal ,Strait of Malacca ( Indonesia ) Strait of Gibralter , Venezuela and the Gulf of America etc and so forth
Meanwhile there in NO money coming in…The Military are not being paid and the Country is experience run away inflation
AND…The Kurds are having their Way in the north east apparently
That’s how I understand it ( no links ) just a summary of what I have seen via research
PS…NOTICE WHO IS ABSENT FROM THE RENEWED HOSTILITIES. NOT A PEEP FROM THE ISRAELIS…NOTHING GOING ON WITH HESBOLLAH …AND IRAN HAS TARGETED SOME OF THE GULF STATES BUT HAS NOT SENT ONE PROJECTILE OF ANY KIND TO ISRAEL….WHY IS THAT ??
MEANWHILE APPARENTLY MOSSAD HAS A BEAD ON THESE 3RD STRING “LEADERS” AFTER THEY ATTENDED THE BIG FUNERAL AFTER FEELING SAFE ENOUGH TO COME OUT OF THEIR CAVES ( THIS IS THE COUNTRY THAT IS WINNING THIS WAR SO EASILY THEY HAD TO WAIT 5 MONTHS TO BURY THEIR “SUPREME LEADER”)
AND FINALLY STILL NO SIGN OF THE CARDBOARD SUPREME MULLAH
Good summary.
Doesn’t conflict with reasonable expectations.
The regime has to fall, or this will be never ending.
Maybe it ends as like West Germany … with the country divided into pieces controlled by the neighbors.
Got to take issue with some of these points… I don’t think it was always the plan. It’s been a progression. In the beginning Trump likely believed a quick war would work, after all the military would always promise that. But when you look at the incentive structure one quickly realizes these people (IRGC) will never give in. The country is too much of a cash cow for them. Senior political leaders and generals owning $100m+ real estate packages in London and the Brits supposedly having their backs. I think Trump was a little slow to understand this. But he gets it now and is done with dealing with them. I think he get’s it that he just has to have them cut off totally and then let their own people take care of the problem.