Silver Will Fall to 75 (starting today)
A short note to my fellow silver traders at the Tent. I have detected a change of behavior in silver and thought you should know that it looks ready to fall. We will be going down to 75 dollars give or take a dollar before hitting bottom. So this is a heads up as the decline has already begun this morning. By the way, try not to expect too much out of silver until early July when it will finally be ready to resume its move up.
For now we will just have to bide our time as the chart is still digesting the remains of that massive parabolic climb that ended in January. There is no chart today. I am sorry but I am not able to show you my work as its not for public consumption. For now, all you need to know is silver is going to drop 12 dollars from its current 87 perch and splash down on 75 plus/minus according to my charting. The drop may be dramatic which is pretty much normal for silver.
If silver rises instead (low probability) then this memo can be discarded.
This drop into July is what I have expected, but it is not cooperating. Perhaps as you mention it will now. However the change in behavior you mention is strictly a function of price action affecting psychology. I am subject to it along with everyone else. I bought ASM and SCZM so as not to be left at the station.
BAM….SO FAR YOU ARE SPOT ON SIR FARMER…..WTF ?
I tuned up my model. It’s working better with a few tweaks. Even Martin can’t do this (but he loves metals so he is blinded by them!)
This correction has NOT been easy to “track”, in Elliott terms.
Fourth waves, triangles and B waves are notoriously difficult.
I did post several weeks ago, that two very competent wavers had called the bottom.
AND ALSO that my work had not yet confirmed. It still hasn’t.
What should have happened (if they were correct) hasn’t. Reinforcing my doubts that they were.
Plunger is spot on, that this is THE PROPER PSYCHOLOGICAL path to expect after the parabola.
Humble everyone who still expects it to be Blue Sky Mining.
northstar posted this chart & price this morning at his bad charts site hitting the 4 yr MA….