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Victor Davis Hanson: The Signals All Point In The Same Direction

1. Kewl2 says:

   March 22, 2026 - 11:28 am at 11:28 am

   This appears to require a PAID substack subscription…….even though it says “FREE”

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2. Fullgoldcrown says:

   March 22, 2026 - 11:38 am at 11:38 am

   No U.S. analyst knows better how to cut through the fog of war than Stanford University Prof. Victor Davis Hanson.

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   In the clip below, Hanson, who’s studied how wars end for 50 years, says the tide has turned in America’s favor against Iran. Forget the rancid propaganda flowing from all quarters related to the Iran conflict and how it is going – Hanson says look at how everyone else is behaving.

   Hanson’s Key Points:

   • Europeans: They never touch a conflict until they smell victory. Early on? Crickets. Now they’re quietly moving assets and offering support. Pure calculation — they’ve read the battlefield and decided which side wins.

   • Gulf petro-states: Saudis, Emiratis, Qataris survive by reading the room perfectly. They’re expelling Iranian attachés, silently intercepting Iranian missiles over their capitals, and the UAE just reaffirmed its $1.4 trillion investment commitment to the U.S. mid-war. These are not gestures — they’re bets. And they’re all-in on America.

   • Al Jazeera: The Qatari state network that usually bashes U.S. actions (and hosts Hamas offices) is now calling America’s bombing campaign “brilliant” and “underestimated.” When the outlet that hosts both the biggest U.S. air base and Hamas praises U.S. effectiveness, the message is unmistakable: they think we’re winning.

   • Military reality: A-10 Warthogs and Apache gunships are now flying strike missions inside Iranian airspace at will. These slow, low-flying platforms only appear when enemy air defenses are effectively gone. Confirms what’s really happening on the ground.

   Iran’s only play left is rope-a-dope: drag it out, hope U.S. public opinion flips, pray midterms pressure Trump to quit.

   VDH’s verdict: If Trump sees it through — and he will — the regime falls. Not in years. Pretty soon.

   Bottom line: Watch what people do, not what they say. Every player with skin in the game is betting on America. The signals don’t lie.

   Transcript:

   There’s enough evidence to see how things are really going. It’s, with Europeans would never agree to go anywhere near Iran unless they thought the tide was turning and they want to, they think that we’re going to win. Otherwise, they would keep still.

   The reason that the Petro nations of the Gulf survive is they have their finger in the wind, and they’re very attuned to the climate.

   And when you have Al Jazeera praising the United States bombing campaign and saying that it’s been underestimated and it’s brilliant and effective, you get the feeling that they think not only should the United States finish the job, but it can and will finish the job.

   And then when you start to see tactical aircraft, like Warthogs and Apaches, that means that they’re offering almost ground and sea support to hit targets. There’s nothing, there’s no defense at all when you have that type of aircraft flying at will in Iranian airspace.

   So you put it all together and I think it’s pretty clear that this Rope-a-dope strategy that they [Iran] have that we’re going to tire before they are is dependent on just public opinion, the midterms in the United States, and if Trump sees it through, and I think he will, I think they’re going to fall pretty soon.

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   • Kewl2 says:

     March 22, 2026 - 11:45 am at 11:45 am

     thx

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