There’s Always A Reason
Perusing various commentary the last two days regarding the Sunday night smackdown of the metals focused on two aspects. One pretty much widely discussed, the other, I only saw the tie in mentioned once and that After the fact. The widely discussed aspect was the deliberate selling of huge amounts of futures contracts Sunday night to smash gold and silver prices. We have seen that before. The answer to the question of why now, is two fold. Late last week both gold and silver were setting up for a breakout. Silver especially, when it was trading just over 26 early Wed. was on the verge of a major breakout before starting to selloff. The tie in of why Sunday night appears to be, not only will our CPI and PPI reports be coming out this week, (which the gov’t can pretty much massage to whatever they want in any given month) BUT the Chinese were releasing their inflation numbers, which came in at 9%. Without the Sunday night smash, that could have been a catalyst for a major rally in commodities, particularly gold and silver. There is always a reason for why something happens When it does, it just isn’t always clear at the time it is happening! The damage has been done and it looks like even more patience will be needed before gold and silver get back on track.
9% ?
Thats probably about right for the USA and Canada too
Good Eye CM
I look forward to Ted Butler’s take on it later this afternoon when he releases his latest, but here is what I am thinking. According to The bullion banks are under closer scrutiny and have been ordered to clean up their short accounts. They have been given some time (unknown) to get it done. They have been trying with some, but limited success. A raid as large as occurred Sunday night may just be too big and too blatant to conduct on US Exchanges any more so they have to do it off US exchanges. The objective of course is to spark a panic and get the ball rolling for forced liquidation extending onto panic retail selling which would be done on Western exchanges.
My take on the bounce back is it don’t really have the desired effect. If we. were in a bull market they couldn’t really do this because it would simply be welcomed as a buying opportunity and the dip would be immediately bought. But as you can see the lows couldn’t even begin to hold. So this says to me that the ability of the bullion banks to manipulate the market down is not what it once was. I don’t think they have much more time to continue playing their smash mouth tactics.
Totally agree their time is running out. Two points I don’t agree (matter of degrees) I believe this was the big one (one can debate whether they have almost finished covering or it will take some more time.) Don’t know where most of the actual naked shorting is (was) NY or London (probably both). The smash may have started in Asia, accelerated in London and finished up with some bounce in NY.(Majority of the actual covering). You are referring to buying a dip if it were a bull market and that would be the case if the manipulation was in the equities (I am sure some takes place there too but that isn’t what drives the gold and silver prices it’s the futures on the COMEX and LBMX). If the naked shorts have largely covered, I believe rather than see an immediate run up in the metals prices, you may get back to a more traditional behavior of the mining stocks start to lead a rally. Slowly at first, with increasing gains that are confirmed by the metals prices slowly grinding higher over an extended period of time? We shall see.
What a simple yet great title of your post, Sir CM!
Here, to laud you and support your rational thoughts, this humble Gold Learner will plagiarize and post from Twitter.
Once again, no offence intended to the genius of Sirs Plunger et al.
“They count on your ability to give rational reasons why you think they can’t do it.
They count on your ability to be reasonable.
That’s why they aren’t.
That’s why it will happen.
That’s why it always happens.
We stare in disbelief while they do it.”
5:43 AM · Aug 2, 2021
https://twitter.com/anon79101/status/1422176156518961158
GL