Very Long Term Charts
This is a striking lesson on how a linear chart and a Log chart of the same index ( SPX)
show entirely different pictures
The Linear show a parabolic moon shot
The Log shows a nice steady 45% angled trend
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A 45 degree angle on a log chart is precisely indicating a parabolic price increase. The scale on the y axis rises in a parabolic fashion (1, 10, 100, 1000 etc). Usually when you have a 45 degree angle on a log chart you then get what looks like a small drop. In reality it drops from say 10000 to 5000 which doesn’t look too bad on a log chart.
I know you know that Fully – I’m just stating the obvious lol. You’re right though, it really pays to know how to interpret these things 🙂
Actually I didn’t know that
🙂
If a 45 degree angle on a log chart is parabolic does that imply that we shouldn’t interpret that as nice and steady? Parabolic by any other name is parabolic and has implications that non-parabolic doesn’t.
A log chart is designed specifically to enable you to display a parabolic price rise on a chart so that it can be read easily. The scale on the y-axis for example would go like this…1,10,100,1000,10000,100000 etc. Very useful if you want to plot the Venezuelan currency over the last 10 years.
100+ year base in linear
That’s why you should always use log charts – especially with long time frames. A 100 point change in 1970 would barely be noticeable on a linear chart, but would have felt like the end of the world back then. A 100 point change today would show the very same movement on the chart, yet we would hardly notice. Repeat after me -Linear Charts Lie! Everybody now –
Yes and no. A linear chart can be misleading unless you know how to interpret it properly.
CORRECTION – I misread your post Ken, then typed linear instead of log ! I’ll try again – yes, I totally agree, log charts are much better over long time frames, but can be misinterpreted by some people.