Palladium vs Platinum
Both these metals look almost exactly the same
Platinum has always had a large Premium over Palladium and Gold
Now Palladium is way more precious than Platinum
And Palladium is Par with Gold
Anybody know whats up with $PALL?
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seasonality for one thing
http://seasonalcharts.com/future_metalle_palladium.html
also used in new cars (replacing platinum)
Wow, 1.0 parity has been achieved between PALL and GOLD! Hasn’t happened since 2002…. leadership change?
My personal two pennyworth. Maybe the Russians are squeezing the palladium supply.
Demand for platinum has been down due to the trouble in the diesel car market. I don’t know what is happening in the petrol engine car market but no major scandals over emissions yet.
It would have hurt Russia greatly to squeeze the oil market since it is such a major source of $$$ / Yuan, etc. However Pd is conveniently small and highly strategic market that they could squeeze.
If I was Putin I would have been buying every second ounce of palladium produced in Russia since 2013. However, the last time I looked, I was not Putin – because I don’t have enough money.
Where will it top? $2000?
Actually, platinum hasn’t had a premium over gold for quite a few years no, starting with the 2008 financial crash that saw them go from 2:1 to parity, more or less.
Like WTI oil always traded at a discount to Brent until whenever, (2013?) when the Libyan crisis came and pushed up Brent and then the shale oil production took off like a rocket.
Markets change.
In the 1800s, platinum was merely “little silver” and was not so valuable. I once saw a platinum fake 20 francs “gold coin” – Pt was cheap and very dense, so you could make a Pt coin and plate it with gold and viola, you made money as a counterfeiter – if you didn’t get executed for your troubles.
Now the counterfeiters are in every central bank in the world.
Got it wrong. WTI oil always had a premium to Brent crude until 2013 or so and now it has a discount. I believe WTI is lighter and sweeter than Brent.
The Palladium : Platinum ratio looks to be going hyperbolic, so it should break fairly soon, maybe in the next few months. It’s doing a Bitcoin move.
It is still not quite as high as the two peaks in 2000 and 2001 though.
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$PALL:$PLAT&p=M&yr=35&mn=0&dy=0&id=p84715185119&a=422997387&listNum=1