SPX Trading Cycle
SPX on day 42 and deep into its timing band to find a short term Trading Cycle Low.
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99% sure of big drop? lol Yes, the potential is in place for a direct break out, which is what I feared. We will know within 2 trading days.
When did I ever say there was going to be a big drop? My previous charts showed standard Fib re-tracement levels for normal TC Lows. Fib 38 retraces are fairly standard at TC Lows. Maybe you consider that a big drop but I don’t.
I think our previous debate was if it would break below the early August low of 2144. Based on my counts, I still think this will happen unless we get a very rare sideways consolidation low over Time (similar to those we have seen since Jan in the Gold and PM complex).
https://goldtadise.com/?p=378795
My point was that you dismissed my potential for this sideways consolidation I was warning about. My “preference” does align with yours that I wanted a bigger drop, but I have been recognizing this high level consolidation potential for weeks now. I would LOVE to see that drop. But, if we don’t see evidence of it within the next two trading days, we have a set up to break straight out to 2350, on our way to 2500-2600.
Avi, I don’t recall “dismissing” anything. I do recall saying I was “fairly certain” that we would move below the early Aug low of 2144 on the way to a TC Low.