{"id":570554,"date":"2023-02-16T16:44:32","date_gmt":"2023-02-16T21:44:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/?p=570554"},"modified":"2023-02-16T17:18:44","modified_gmt":"2023-02-16T22:18:44","slug":"train-crashes-and-base-rate-fallacies-derailing-the-derailment-narrative","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/?p=570554","title":{"rendered":"Train Crashes and Base Rate Fallacies Derailing the Derailment Narrative"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Catman  has some stats to consider ( as usual)<\/p>\n<p>key sentence <strong>&#8220;lots of people have lots of incentive to inflame rather than inform&#8221;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/boriquagato.substack.com\/p\/train-crashes-and-base-rate-fallacies?utm_source=post-email-title&#038;publication_id=323914&#038;post_id=103355253&#038;isFreemail=false&#038;utm_medium=email\">https:\/\/boriquagato.substack.com\/p\/train-crashes-and-base-rate-fallacies?utm_source=post-email-title&#038;publication_id=323914&#038;post_id=103355253&#038;isFreemail=false&#038;utm_medium=email<\/a><\/p>\n<p>looks like this is subscriber only so I&#8217;ll paste it in a comment&#8230;Because THIS IS IMPORTANT <\/p>\n<p>HERE IS A KEY CHART<\/p>\n<p><strong>the US has about 1000 train derailments a year. that\u2019s roughly 3 per day<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/90.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/90-300x165.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"165\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-570559\" srcset=\"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/90-300x165.png 300w, https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/90-800x440.png 800w, https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/90-150x82.png 150w, https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/90-1536x844.png 1536w, https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/90.png 1558w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>PS&#8230;AS STaTED IN THE ARTICLE BY THE CAT MAN&#8230;THERE IS A PRECIDENT FOR A VINYL CHLORDE SPILL&#8230;AND IT WAS A DOOZY&#8230;.2 miles from Philadelphia International Airport&#8230;IN 2012&#8230;HERE IS THE LINK<\/p>\n<p>snip<\/p>\n<p><strong>Of the 82 freight cars being hauled, 55 were carrying hazardous materials, 15 of which contained vinyl chloride. Three of the cars loaded with vinyl chloride ended up in Mantua Creek beneath the bridge, and one of those experienced a full rupture, releasing 20,000 gallons of the toxic gas directly into the air<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/doomberg.substack.com\/p\/railroaded?utm_source=substack&#038;utm_campaign=post_embed&#038;utm_medium=email\">https:\/\/doomberg.substack.com\/p\/railroaded?utm_source=substack&#038;utm_campaign=post_embed&#038;utm_medium=email<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>I have been thinking about this all day and I have been thinking&#8230;it&#8217;s a BIG WORLD OUT THERE&#8230;and the &#8220;Dilution&#8221; factor is WAY WAY BIGGER THAN WE CAN IMAGINE<\/p>\n<p>We need PERSPECTIVE&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Ok&#8230;going to Blow Out the candles Now<\/p>\n<p>cheers<\/p>\n<p>Fully<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Catman has some stats to consider ( as usual) key sentence &#8220;lots of people have lots of incentive to inflame rather than inform&#8221; https:\/\/boriquagato.substack.com\/p\/train-crashes-and-base-rate-fallacies?utm_source=post-email-title&#038;publication_id=323914&#038;post_id=103355253&#038;isFreemail=false&#038;utm_medium=email looks like this is subscriber only so I&#8217;ll paste it in a comment&#8230;Because THIS IS IMPORTANT &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/?p=570554\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-570554","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/570554","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=570554"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/570554\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=570554"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=570554"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=570554"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}