From tonight’s Politico:<\/p>\n
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IS IT OVER?<\/span><\/strong> Here is what everyone in Washington is thinking but does not want to say out loud: President Donald Trump is going to lose this election in 28 days, probably by a large margin. <\/span><\/p>\n A growing number of insiders, including many Republicans, are starting to venture \u2014 privately \u2014 that this outcome is likely to be clear on Election Night, not days or weeks later. <\/span><\/p>\n And Trump\u2019s collapse is likely to take Republican control of the Senate with him. <\/span><\/p>\n Is this a certainty? No.<\/span><\/strong> We all remember 2016. But the system is blinking red:<\/span><\/p>\n \u2014 Biden leads nationally by 9 points in the Real Clear Politics average<\/a> and has passed the critical 50 percent threshold. Some recent national polls have been eye-popping: 14 points in the latest NBC\/Wall Street Journal poll and 16 points in the latest CNN poll.<\/span><\/p>\n \u2014 <\/span>Biden\u2019s lead has been growing <\/span><\/strong>since the first debate, an event Republicans pointed to as the key event where Trump might turn things around. <\/span><\/p>\n \u2014 The crucial states of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania,<\/a> which was one of the few good polling states for Trump, have all been trending clearly toward Biden. <\/span><\/p>\n \u2014 All of the polls behind this assessment were completed before today, when the president abruptly abandoned negotiations on a Covid relief bill,<\/a> which could have provided an economic lifeline to millions of Americans.<\/span><\/p>\n This is the conventional wisdom, though it is rarely said publicly. <\/span><\/strong>It\u2019s been expressed by a number<\/span> of glum Republicans we\u2019ve talked to since the debate and the subsequent news of the White House becoming a Covid hot spot. \u201cToday feels like the election\u2019s over,\u201d a veteran Republican strategist said Sunday<\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n But again, we all remember 2016. So there is a quiet conspiracy to emphasize the uncertainty and stress to readers and viewers that anything could still happen.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" From tonight’s Politico: IS IT OVER? Here is what everyone in Washington is thinking but does not want to say out loud: President Donald Trump is going to lose this election in 28 days, probably by a large margin. … Continue reading