{"id":451874,"date":"2019-11-20T08:41:56","date_gmt":"2019-11-20T13:41:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/?p=451874"},"modified":"2019-11-20T09:16:14","modified_gmt":"2019-11-20T14:16:14","slug":"more-on-rate-cut-probabilities","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/?p=451874","title":{"rendered":"More on Rate Cut Probabilities"},"content":{"rendered":"

I’m keeping a close eye on this for the while… 1 month ago, we had 37% chance to be at 125-150 (at the jan meeting) … then we hard dropped to 15-17% chances. I’m looking for a slow climb back up to 37-40% area (resistance)… A break out will most likely occur once we close above that. https:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/trading\/interest-rates\/countdown-to-fomc.html<\/a><\/p>\n

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Now.. you can see this on the historical graph for Jan 20 meeting…<\/p>\n

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And push it to the March meeting…<\/p>\n

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And even furthur at the Jul meeting …<\/p>\n

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You can almost see the future where this is going… each cut not happening now… doesn’t alleviate pressure on the probabilities of a cut.. but adds more pressure going forward that will get a cut! We are very much still in an easing cycle. I guess the inverse would be true if we were in a hiking cycle.<\/p>\n

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I’m keeping a close eye on this for the while… 1 month ago, we had 37% chance to be at 125-150 (at the jan meeting) … then we hard dropped to 15-17% chances. I’m looking for a slow climb back … Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2905,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-451874","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/451874","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2905"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=451874"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/451874\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=451874"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=451874"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=451874"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}