{"id":451712,"date":"2019-11-16T08:59:02","date_gmt":"2019-11-16T13:59:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/?p=451712"},"modified":"2019-11-16T18:23:46","modified_gmt":"2019-11-16T23:23:46","slug":"its-a-probability-game","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/?p=451712","title":{"rendered":"It’s a probability game"},"content":{"rendered":"

I had these crazy ideas last night… was there a link between gold prices and actual rate cuts? Further more, could I get ahead of the curve and see actual gold price movement while the probabilities of those potential rates were being digested by the market? Lastly, what if I could chart the “rate cut” probabilities and apply TA to them?<\/p>\n

Well, thanks to cmegroup, they did the hard work for me! https:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/trading\/interest-rates\/countdown-to-fomc.html<\/a><\/p>\n

Here is the graph for rate cut probabilities back for the Sep 18th FOMC meeting…<\/p>\n

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Now here is the gold chart…<\/p>\n

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So, this is typical “buy the rumour… sell the news” type scenario. But now, you get proof via a cool looking chart! Helps crystallize that idea.<\/p>\n

Don’t wait for the actual cut to play gold… but when their probabilities actually “break out”!<\/p>\n

Edit: Adding some more scenarios…<\/p>\n

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I had these crazy ideas last night… was there a link between gold prices and actual rate cuts? Further more, could I get ahead of the curve and see actual gold price movement while the probabilities of those potential rates … Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2905,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-451712","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/451712","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2905"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=451712"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/451712\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=451712"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=451712"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=451712"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}