{"id":386041,"date":"2016-11-04T19:09:55","date_gmt":"2016-11-04T23:09:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/?p=386041"},"modified":"2016-11-05T20:47:36","modified_gmt":"2016-11-06T00:47:36","slug":"abx-follow-the-leader","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/?p=386041","title":{"rendered":"ABX &#8230;Follow THE Leader"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Barrick Gold&#8230;.World&#8217;s Largest Gold Miner.<br \/>\nSome say its Flawed&#8230;over hedged&#8230;poorly managed&#8230;whatever<br \/>\nI would never buy it BUT Somebody DOES<\/p>\n<p>This stock looked to be going to zero at the end of 2015.<br \/>\nIt lead the PM Complex Down . Went from $52 to $6 in 4 years.<br \/>\nThe industry leader ! Incredible almost 90% Loss&#8230;worse than most Juniors !<br \/>\nIt broke thru the 2008 crash bottom like it wasn&#8217;t even there. One of the worst crashes I have seen&#8230;ever ..in any industry. A true Horror Story .<\/p>\n<p>BUT a Funny thing happened on the way to Zero.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/abx222.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/abx222-800x523.png\" alt=\"abx222\" width=\"640\" height=\"418\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-386042\" srcset=\"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/abx222-800x523.png 800w, https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/abx222-150x98.png 150w, https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/abx222-300x196.png 300w, https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/abx222.png 1240w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>A Rip Roaring 300% Move in 9 months. Note the Bottom in Oct 2015&#8230;3 months before most PM Miners of all ilks Bottomed in January 2016&#8230;Barrick IS THE LEADER&#8230;like it or NOT !<\/p>\n<p>This Giant of the Gold Mining Industry trades like a penny Stock !<\/p>\n<p>So Who buys it &#8230;No one here on this board would touch it with a 10 foot pole.<\/p>\n<p>Institutions that&#8217;s who. <\/p>\n<p>So where are we Now ?<\/p>\n<p>Well for one we are just starting into the strongest seasonal period BY FAR in the Miners&#8230;but that&#8217;s a secondary metric.<\/p>\n<p>BUT what about the Chartology ? <\/p>\n<p>We have all been analysing GDX and GDXJ and HUI and all the PM Indices..and many here are still seeing Bearish Patterns&#8230;expecting more downplay here. <\/p>\n<p>Personally I look at the HUI and I see a very Ominous Looking H and S Pattern projecting a fall back to where we came from. Classic !<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/hui111-4.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/hui111-4-800x399.png\" alt=\"hui111\" width=\"640\" height=\"319\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-386043\" srcset=\"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/hui111-4-800x399.png 800w, https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/hui111-4-150x75.png 150w, https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/hui111-4-300x150.png 300w, https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/hui111-4.png 1240w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>ABX is in all the Major PM Indices..its a large Component so one would expect it to look similar to this HUi Chart<br \/>\nBut a closer Look under the Hood reveals a different story from the Leader of the pack.<br \/>\nLets look at the Daily LOG chart to see what is transpiring in ABX.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/abx111.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/abx111-800x399.png\" alt=\"abx111\" width=\"640\" height=\"319\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-386044\" srcset=\"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/abx111-800x399.png 800w, https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/abx111-150x75.png 150w, https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/abx111-300x150.png 300w, https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/abx111.png 1240w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Observations<\/p>\n<p>1..After the 9 month epic 300% run ABX finally corrected for what seemed like a LONG time for the Standing Bulls<br \/>\n2..But really it has (so far) bottomed after just 2 months !<br \/>\n3&#8230;Bottomed where >?At exactly a 50% retrace &#8230;that&#8217;s where<br \/>\n4&#8230;Bottomed also at the TOP of the first impulse move into March which as it turned out was half way to the top<br \/>\n5&#8230;Bottomed with a false Breakout below its own Head and Shoulders neckline<br \/>\n6&#8230;Bottomed after a Gap down and now has held above a recent Gap UP ( Island Bottom)<br \/>\n7&#8230;Now has been in a stealth 5 week uptrend which has taken it thru the 2 month Downtrend<br \/>\n8&#8230;After loosing the 50 dma and the 200 dma it is now comfortably above both..without triggering the death cross.<br \/>\n9&#8230;note the 2 blacklines forming the triangle..The price dropped below the apex and then climbed back above it .Rambus calls this an around the Apex move&#8230;usually very bullish.<br \/>\n10&#8230;.Now at some obvious resistance at $19<\/p>\n<p>What could be next ?<br \/>\nZoom In&#8230;. Maybe something like this&#8230;a small down move  to create another Inverse H and S<br \/>\nThen UP to new Higher Highs<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/abx444.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/abx444-800x399.png\" alt=\"abx444\" width=\"640\" height=\"319\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-386052\" srcset=\"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/abx444-800x399.png 800w, https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/abx444-150x75.png 150w, https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/abx444-300x150.png 300w, https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/abx444.png 1240w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Now Zoom Back out to the weekly and what potential do we see ? an Inverse Head and Shoulders  in the Making.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/abx222-1.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/abx222-1-800x523.png\" alt=\"abx222\" width=\"640\" height=\"418\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-386049\" srcset=\"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/abx222-1-800x523.png 800w, https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/abx222-1-150x98.png 150w, https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/abx222-1-300x196.png 300w, https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/11\/abx222-1.png 1240w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Pass the Popcorn<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Barrick Gold&#8230;.World&#8217;s Largest Gold Miner. Some say its Flawed&#8230;over hedged&#8230;poorly managed&#8230;whatever I would never buy it BUT Somebody DOES This stock looked to be going to zero at the end of 2015. It lead the PM Complex Down . Went &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/?p=386041\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-386041","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/386041","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=386041"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/386041\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=386041"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=386041"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goldtadise.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=386041"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}