Loading ...THE BIGGEST PLAN OF THEM ALL
JEFF CHILDERS SUNDAY SPECIAL..THE GRAND GEOPOLITICAL PLAN IS COMING INTO VIEW !
in the comment section
Fully’s comment
I believe that Jeff’s Thesis is 100% spot on
And It is something most of us who gather here here at this Esteemed Little Tent in the Wilderness
have believed and hoped for for many years now !
We all have our favorites but I find many of the ones we followed are now either searching for eyeballs or have a different agenda
Presently My Go To Guys for Politics and Geoploitics are
Jeff Childers
Tom Luongo
Steve Turley
Elizabeth Nixon
JH Kunstler
Patriot Josh
Clandestine
Quantus Insights ( Polls and Interpretation )
and
Eric Daughterty / Citizen’s Free Press / Liberty Daily ( Breaking News )
WHAT A TIME TO BE ALIVE
There’s been so much happening domestically lately, we haven’t spent much time with our overseas friends (and readers). Let’s fix that. Yesterday, the far-left Economist ran an anguished story headlined, “The hard right’s plans for Europe’s economy.” The left is falling fast. “No single factor explains the hard right’s success,” the Economist said, but in Europe, “the hard right is on the march.” To the Economist, ‘the hard right’ is a slanderous euphemism for anyone who opposes men playing in girls’ sports. So, it really means the conservative counter-revolution.
In classic dry British understatement, the Economist concluded, “reasons to be cheerful are scarce.” The heart of Europe is trending anti-globalist, which is what the Economist considers “hard right,” even though the political platforms include things like generous pensions and tax credits for babies. But so far, and defying all prior prediction, Europe’s biggest countries are undeniably becoming overtaken by Trumplike national conservatism: France, Britain, Germany, Italy, Poland, Austria, Belgium, and many others.
For an example from the Economist’s backyard, see yesterday’s AP headline:
The sad Economist remains baffled. “No single factor explains the hard right’s success,” the paper mused in confusion. But that’s like cutting the household staff’s salaries and then airily telling Grand Aunt Elisabeth that “I can’t imagine what’s gotten into the help these days.” Economist, here is a “clue.” Ahoy:
The Economist’s befuddled editors finally landed —in an amazing coincidence— on the exact same problem U.S. Democrats blamed their political woes on: Kitchen-table issues. That self-delusion shows how desperate they are to cling to their one master passion, mass immigration, which engrosses them.
After blaming the right’s rise on the economy, the article immediately pivoted to defending mass immigration.
“Europe’s economy depends on migrants,” the Economist insisted, practically daring the anti-globalists to cut migration and find out what happens then. But does the continent’s economy depend on migration, though? Did the Economist bother comparing productive imported workers against social welfare freeloaders?
No. Citing studies based on “models,” the Economist deployed hypnotic euphemism, calling for “fiscal discipline” (which means austerity, supporting Ukraine while raising retirement ages and cutting citizens’ benefits), and “demographic support” (i.e., mass immigration).
Nobody likes those policies, regardless of what name they use. It’s almost like they are trying to lose. In any case, Europe’s left appears hellbent on doing more of the same thing. Meanwhile, the nationalist right is ascendant, with most corporate media forecasts gloomily predicting one or all three of the largest countries will soon elect a Trump-style national populist prime minister.
But if there were one, most important political policy the rising ‘hard right’ threatens, even more than its mass immigration plan, it’s the globalists’ proxy war in Ukraine. Make a note of that.
Now plunk the European politics dot on the board. We’ll return to it.
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Let’s move next to the tiresome Proxy War, which has mostly been mired in record levels of odious media propaganda, making reporting nearly useless. But as far back as July, the tone clearly began to shift from “Ukraine is perched on the brink of decisive victory” to “Ukraine might be losing.” Headline from the UK Guardian:
Then, two weeks later, we learned that the deep state laundromat in Ukraine is seeing declining revenues. Reuters, July 31st:
Now fast-forward three months to this morning. With the NATO coalition politically fractured, low on supplies, and financially exhausted, Russia —not even close to exhausted— is finally stepping on the gas. Headline from Reuters:
Long gone are the days when media crowed about the latest wonder weapon that would finally teach Moscow its lesson. Vanished are the interactive graphics that describe the terrifying battlefield capabilities of “game-changing” F-16s, HIMARS, and ATACMs. Erased are the long-form, multi-media style stories about Kiev’s scrappy drone-making grandmas.
An uncomfortable truth that you will never see reported is that Russia has been fighting with one arm tied behind its back. Moscow has been grinding down Ukraine in a slow war of attrition, carefully avoiding any lightning collapse that could provoke NATO intervention. If Moscow really wanted to quickly crush Ukraine’s war effort, the Dnieper bridges, Kiev’s power grid, and the western rail corridors into Poland would already be rubble.
A child could see it. NATO provides all Ukraine’s weapons by train from a base in Poland. Then, those weapons must be shipped by truck and rail across the war-torn country, and inevitably pass over one of the half-dozen bridges spanning the massive river that bisects Ukraine. If Russia ever wanted to quickly win Eastern Ukraine, it could just blow up the supply lines from Poland and the bridges crossing the river. Done and done. Easy as pie.
Instead, Moscow has left key bridges and rail lines standing, even though they’re lifelines for Ukrainian troops. It has patiently allowed the trickle of Western weapons and aid to come through, in order to attrit them at the front. In other words, the “Russia is bogged down” narrative misses the bigger point: Russia is deliberately fighting with one hand, and still grinding down both Ukraine and NATO.
That’s the second dot.
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Now let’s turn to the latest tedious and repetitive emergency meeting of Europe’s “Coalition of the Willing.” Two days ago, the Kyiv Independent ran a gloomy story headlined, “Europe’s ‘Coalition of the Willing’ plan for Ukraine is already unravelling.” Womp womp.
President Trump didn’t attend in person. He called into Thursday’s emergency meeting in Paris, which included all the usual low-popularity suspects like French President Emmanuel Macron, British PM Keir Starmer, German Chancellor Merz, and of course, the not-so-funny former comedian Zelensky.
“According to two European officials familiar with the talks who spoke to the Kyiv Independent,” the article reported, “the call did not go well.”
Trump “berated” the Europeans for two reasons. First, he pointed out that, while the US has “sanctioned” India with 50% tariffs for buying Russian oil, Europe is still buying Russian oil. “Despite more than three years of war,” the Independent explained, “Europe has still to wean itself off Russian oil and gas.”
So they either need to evacuate their fossil fuels or get off the proxy war toilet. In other words, put your money where your big fat mouths are.
Then, President Trump scolded the Europeans that they must join the U.S. in its 50% sanctions on India. Since the Europeans are the ones calling for those sanctions, why should America carry all the burden? They need to do it, too.
It was checkmate. Trump’s two demands were perfectly reasonable, morally justified, and well-measured. But Europe cannot afford either one. They won’t give up cheap Russian gas— it would tank their already faltering economies. Europe’s projected GDP growth is an anemic +1.5%. Any fuel-based price shocks would plunge them (further) into recession.
Nor are they willing to pay the price of Indian sanctions. The US’s complicated tariff scheme can easily absorb a trade war with the subcontinent, but Europe’s economy is already running on fumes. Europe’s exporters —German machine tools, French chemicals, Italian luxury goods— all depend on Indian markets to offset domestic deindustrialization.
Trump has stuck them on the horns of an insurmountable dilemma. Their tender parts are caught in a pincer. They’re over a barrel. I’m not saying the desperate Eurokeepers won’t scheme up some way out. But it’s hard to imagine what that could be.
Put that third dot on the board.
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Next, on Friday, the Hill ran a widely-reported story below the headline, “Trump: ‘Looks like we’ve lost India and Russia to deepest, darkest China.’” All that really happened was the three countries’ leaders met in Beijing this week.
Is it just me, or does President Xi always look like he’s just swallowed a bug?
President Trump posted, “May they have a long and prosperous future together!” The entire corporate media apparatus interpreted that as sarcasm. But sarcasm isn’t Trump’s usual style. Ask yourself a question that will become much more significant in a moment: what if Trump wasn’t being sarcastic?
The story’s gist, or nub, was that the 50% sanctions imposed by the United States on India are “driving India right into China’s arms.” It’s fabulously hilarious.
For months, Western commentators and former officials howled that Trump must sanction India’s oil imports from Russia— accusing Delhi of funneling money to Moscow’s war machine and undermining Western policy. Trump responded with sweeping tariffs up to 50%.
After the tariffs went live, analysts warned that, instead of bending, India was moving closer to Russia and China. The strategic alliance they’d long warned against forming was, ironically, triggered by their own call for punitive pressure because of Ukraine.
One way to see this is it’s the politics of moving goalposts. First, they demanded “Trump must punish India for buying Russian oil.” When he did, they instantly complained, “Trump is driving India into China’s arms.”
Nothing Trump does can ever meet the standard, because the standard shifts with the moment. Their ‘standard’ is like that mercuric shape-shifting Terminator in the second movie.
But a child can see the two positions can’t coexist. You can’t coherently both demand punishment and also cry about the predictable consequence of that punishment. That’s not even nuance; it’s just plain old contradiction.
Either India should be punished, or punishment will push it away — pick one, morons. And anyway, the whole idea that India would happily toss aside cheap Russian energy to please Washington or Brussels was magical thinking from the jump.
Now let’s consider the box Trump has put Europe in. As the Hill reported, India is already drifting closer to Russia and China following the U.S. tariffs. If Europe did join in, it would only accelerate the pivot. But the Europeans can’t afford to lose India. Brussels has spent years carefully cultivating Delhi as a “counterweight to Beijing.” Jumping on sanctions now would blow that project to diplomatic smithereens.
Trump’s tariffs on India force Europe into an impossible corner. They can’t not support Ukraine rhetorically, but they also can’t afford to sanction India, either economically or geopolitically. Brussels looks weak, hypocritical, and stuck.
But wait, there’s more. The most sudden and unexpected story yet.
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Our final dot is a doozy. On Friday, Politico ran an astonishing story headlined, “Pentagon plan prioritizes homeland over China threat.” Nobody saw this coming.
Politico’s breathless exclusive described a striking shift in U.S. defense priorities. A draft of the new National Defense Strategy, now on Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s desk, reorients the Pentagon away from the “China first” posture of Trump’s 2018 term. Instead, it puts top priority on defending the homeland and on the Western Hemisphere — activating Guard units for law enforcement at home, militarizing the southern border, striking drug cartels in South America, guarding the Gulf of America, and deploying assets to the Caribbean.
Just as the Russia–China axis is reaching its zenith — with Putin, Xi, and now Modi standing shoulder to shoulder in Tianjin, and Kim Jong Un grinning at Beijing’s military parade like a bloated chimpanzee — the U.S. defense establishment is drafting a strategy that pulls back from “great power competition” and refocuses inward.
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The Pentagon’s pivot is a radical departure from Trump’s own rhetoric, which still blasts Beijing with threatened tariffs and fiery speeches. But in practice, the Administration is quietly moving toward an “America First” defense policy— consolidating power at home, leaning on allies to shoulder their own regional burdens, and redirecting U.S. forces away from costly global commitments.
In effect, Trump’s Pentagon is stepping back from the role of global policeman and recasting the U.S. military as a domestic shield, rather than as an expeditionary force. This reversal unnerved hawks and allies alike, but it embodies the nationalist, ‘isolationist’ streak now driving Trump’s second term.
The China hawks are freaking out. They are reacting like bulls seeing a red flag. For years, they’ve marched under the banner of “great power competition,” pouring ink and speeches into the idea that Beijing is the nation’s most existential threat (rather than progressivism). Now, they’re suddenly watching the Pentagon pivot inward to border security, Caribbean interdictions, industrial-scale drug busts, and National Guardsmen patrolling American streets— and they are watching their carefully crafted China-first doctrine being mothballed in real time.
Oh, they’ve responded with howls and chest-beating. Op-eds warned of “strategic suicide,” Hill staffers muttered about “abandoning the Pacific,” and think-tank panels sounded like revival meetings, encouraging the anti-China faithful not to lose heart. The rhetoric virtually sweats alarm: accusations that Trump is “handing the Indo-Pacific to Xi,” lamentations that “America is turning its back on the free world,” and dire predictions of a new “Asian Munich.”
In other words: they’re in full panic mode.
What on Earth is going on?? What do all these geopolitical dots reveal? Here’s where things start to get really speculative.
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I would only dare publish this final, dramatic wrap-up segment in a Sunday Bonus Post, because it is one hundred percent speculation. Trump isn’t telling anyone his plan (nor should he), and I have no insider knowledge (nor do I want any). But if you assemble all these dots, something incredible, massive, and world-changing is obviously happening.
Let’s count the dots we can be reasonably confident are true. Set aside Trump’s words. Talk, as they say, is cheap. Let’s just look at the winners and losers. But let us focus on the guilty countries, that all aided the deep state’s RussiaGate coup against the United States: Western Europe (Germany, France, and especially Britain), Australia, and Ukraine. (And maybe Canada.)
And recall that Russia tried to help stop the coup, by sharing intel about the RussiaGate operation with the U.S. intelligence community (which buried it). Recall that Putin almost certainly warned Trump about the coup before anyone in our own government did.
Now let’s look at the geopolitical winners and losers among the RussiaGate players:
Europe: they’re losing. They are in shambles, all facing “hard right coups” of their own. Their economies are wrecked. Trump has tariffed them in a humiliating, one-sided deal. We’ve more than doubled their NATO membership fees. We’re not playing in their Proxy War sandbox anymore.
Given the new populist-nationalist insurgencies they face, a change in European governments seems likely. It’s ironic, when you think about it. They tried to change our government, and look what’s happening to them. Boomerang.
Russia: winning. It’s winning in Ukraine. Its economy is booming (despite sanctions). It has resolved long-running (probably US-fueled) disputes with China and India. Trump has never sanctioned Russia. BRICS and the SCO are going gangbusters. Russia owns the global south. President Putin is ascendant.
Australia: losing. Trump pulled us out of an AUKUS defense pact that Biden showered on the outpost nation to help protect it from China. The Pentagon’s new America First doctrine leaves Canberra isolated, just as Beijing flexes hard in the Pacific. (I’m sorry, Aussies, I love you. Your government has put you in a tough spot.)
Ukraine: clearly losing, badly. Nearly bankrupt, half its war budget unfunded, bleeding manpower at catastrophic levels. Western “wonder weapons” proved to be a mirage. The headlines about HIMARS and F-16s have vanished. It will be a miracle if its current government survives at all. Need I say more? Zelensky tried to get Trump by setting him up for impeachment. Now Ukraine is going away.
You still with me? Can you see it yet?
I think the real conflict concealed behind all Trump’s Truth Social posts is a war against the RussiaGate conspirators. It might as well be.
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But what’s the objective? Is it just revenge? I don’t think so. I think it is far bigger than a global revenge spree. I think Trump is making world history.
Here’s my working hypothesis (and that’s all it is): Trump is rearranging the entire post-Cold War geopolitical order. He’s building a multipolar world with three regional superpowers. A world with three heads: America, Russia, and China. And they are carving up the smaller countries to fit into three regions.
Think about it. Trump has already laid claim to the whole Americas: he wants to buy massive Greenland to the North, he’s collecting Canada into a 51st state, he renamed our local ocean as the Gulf of America, and now our battle cruisers are sitting off Venezuela’s coast. We also get Western Europe (as the Trump-friendly ‘hard right’ ascends).
China gets Asia, India, and the Pacific region. Russia gets Eastern Europe and Africa. Probably nobody wants the Middle East, but as you know well, there is a lot of rapid change happening there, too.
Taken together, these dots suggest Trump isn’t just freelancing day to day. He’s presiding over a massive, silent multipolar carve-up: America in the West, Russia in the East and Africa, China in Asia and the Pacific. The smaller states get slotted in wherever they fit. Here’s my amateur illustration:
My ‘working hypothesis’ is not just based on this week’s current events. I’ve held this theory since early in Trump 2.0, and I could offer many other bits of circumstantial evidence. Maybe I first began considering this concept after hearing Marco Rubio’s comments, right after he assumed post as our new Secretary of State, and less than two weeks into Trump 2.0. Headline from Responsible Statecraft, February 3rd:
Rubio essentially described my map. He precisely framed the tri-polar world reconfiguration, not as an American retreat, but as historic realism. America doesn’t need to be everywhere, because multipolarity is the natural state of the world. And, I might add, it is a more stable state than an artificial global hegemony.
Rubio was always a lifelong China hawk, which is how he was so easily confirmed. So consider carefully what the new Secretary of State said right after Trump took office:
The entire Megyn Kelley interview is published on the State Department’s website. Read it for yourself. But either way, consider the bare fact that they posted it on an official US government web page. It’s nothing less than a declaration of official US policy. We told you what we were doing back in February. So it’s not even a “secret” plan. And it’s unfolding right before our eyes.
Let me reiterate: I don’t know. This is just dot-connecting. This is what I see, whenever I look at the big picture. It seems to become more and more likely as I watch global events unfold. It appears that the Ukraine war was the unlikely fulcrum, and his tariffs are the powerful lever arm, that Trump is using to literally remake the world, forever ending the globalist fever dream of a one-world system under an authoritarian, leftist American hegemony.
If I am right, in two years the world will look completely different. And probably much better. Tell me what you think in the comments
First off, Jeff Childers is brilliant. Hard to believe he’s just an attorney in Florida’s own cesspool, Tallahassee.
Second, if he’s 75% right it’s amazing. Love that the US is going domestic vs international policeman. Best thing that could happen.
Third, the only “flaw” I see is the “ascending of the right” in Europe. That continent, including GB, is so far gone applying paddles at double the voltage won’t get a heartbeat going. They are so far gone they would be better being under Russia’s umbrella than being independent.
Great read, great observations, great dot connecting.
Now if only Trump would stop supporting commie candidates and stop being vaccine stupid and actually start putting our most serious criminals (think treason) behind bars, we’d be making some serious progress. His dinner with satanic agents is enough to want to kill the Orange Man.
Keep friends close and enemies closer
Absolute bullshit. That dinner was an insult to everyone who suffered a vaccine injury, lost a job, had their life destroyed, were censored, banned, harassed by such evil. Trump should be indicted them for crimes against humanity, not breaking bread with them.
Watch Luongo…He believes this was akin to rounding up all those Euro peons and letting them know …what he knows and what he has on them
Funny how Childers, Sundance, Daugherty and Armstrong are all hailing out of Florida.
All the major sleuthers.
Florida Rocks