Silver’s 1 hour chart
I’m still learning about this contango… but it does seem to “over heat” and give indications like an oscillating indicator.
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I believe it is silver that is in significant backwardation (supply and GSR disruptions) and gold has recently been on occasion in contango.
Contango (premium) is when current futures contract in front is priced higher than spot. This is presently the case for silver and gold.
The Last Contango in London
🙂
Does not this definition fit silver at the moment?
“Normal backwardation, also sometimes called backwardation, is the market condition wherein the price of a commodities’ forward or futures contract is trading below the expected spot price at contract maturity.”
This is a futures chart for silver
Futures contract = $15
https://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=SI&p=m5
current spot maturity (today) ie taking delivery = $20+
Nobody can buy phys for the prices shown in that futures chart – thus the futures price of silver is far less than the immediate (I-can-buy-from-a-dealer) price.
What am I missing? Thanks.
goog
“….That’s because the silver market is usually contango, with backwardation being a relatively rare condition for this metal. Backwardation, of course, refers to the phenomenon where silver for immediate delivery ($20+) costs more than for later delivery ($14-$15). Jun 6, 2011”
….backwardation…..
Dealers are selling at the current contract in front.. not spot. They buy at spot however.
How do you make sense of this article’s headline?
“Silver Backwardation Returns, Gold and Silver Market Report”
Keith Weiner
Posted Mar 5, 2020
http://www.321gold.com/editorials/weiner/weiner030520.html
Okay.. spot if there is phys available in store for immediate pickup… + a small fee.. That would be logical. If dealers charge a huge premium over spot.. which is also over the futures contract.. then it’s them abusing their clients.
Because you could just buy a futures contract and have delivered at expiry. So you would be paying the regular “contango” or preminum set by market… not the bullion shop owner