Covid-19: Just The Numbers
Tiny numbers in the context of global population. However, as there is no immunity and no vaccine, a true global pandemic, with those death rates would kill many millions. Containment and a hope for the thing to recede in coming months may lead to much, much less global health impact. The cost to the world economy is likely to be too much though. Too much to recover from for many years. This really does look like a historical turning point in the making.
The Chinese took a lot of heat for how they handled this BUT….they so far have gotten it under control WAY faster than anybody expected
At the beginning Models were put forth showing this would double every day or so and exponentially within months everybody would be infected.
We laughed at “Hospitals” built in a week
But looks like it worked to help contain the spread.
80,000 known cases out of a population of 1.5 Billion !
Hopefully the virus will burn itself out as we move into warmer weather. The southern latitudes are in late summer and have seen just a fraction of the overall cases.
I’ve been following this for months.
Today it’s at 6%.
On February 22nd it said 10%.
On February 16th it said 15%.
“Death rate” keeps dropping like a rock as more of the people recover.
“Weeks” not months…
Active cases peaked on February 18th at 58,622.
Cases have dropped to today’s 38,875.
As summer comes we’re likely to see this drop significantly.
The question will be can they get a cure/vaccine going before next winter?
If so, this is going to end very well…. for most everyone….
Active cases dropped because nearly all of them were in China. If you believe them, its all but over in China, with 1.5 billion people never having caught it. The cases outside China are rising much more rapidly now, so it’ll be another couple of weeks before we really know what’s going on. Begs the question, why all this ‘panic’ for a disease that has killed 1% of the number that has been killed by seasonal flu this Winter???