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50 SMA providing resistance again?
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Yes.
I have crude, natty and silver all reversing south from these bounces sometime in the next week or so ahead. Suspect rest of PM sector does the same.
Bearish engulfing today…
Not really looking at oil at present Eagle. Briefly looked at it last week and thought the next decent move (10%+), was more likely to be long than short,
based partly on $USD falling.
Put another way, I was thinking if oil does fall from here I would be looking for the lowest possible risk place to take a long position.
Currency moves changes everything…
Still trying to decide the best risk/reward approach if there is a spike in the $VIX. As of now, I’m thinking it’s long JNUG rather than long UVXY, LABD or SOXS
because I think a spike in $VIX would lead to a dump in $USD. If not, then I’m inclined to go long LABD or SOXS rather than UVXY because the risk/reward profile
is better. Also, UVXY is a *massive* pain in the ass. It’s only worth considering if you think it’s going to make a 100%+ move, which is once-in-a-blue moon
anyway.
Still lots to think about. Enjoy the fishing and take a break. I think there will be good opportunities coming up in the coming months and years for that matter.
Also, if you can get, for example, your LABD trade right, then there’s the possibility of spinning on a dime and going long LABU immediately after.
Risky but profitable if you are rolling your gains forward.
Excellent thoughts…back to fishing…
Watch QQQ 150 zone…some EW I follow is calling for a top…
Thanks Eagle but I have my own approach, which has gotten considerably more complex this year. At present, my focus is JDST & JNUG and I keep an eye on DGAZ, UGAZ, DWT, etc., because that’s where I think the greatest % returns are going to be. (I’m *all* about the greatest percentage returns.)
When you’re back run the charts for LABD & LABU for 2015 (only started trading then) & 2016 and you’ll see what I’m getting at. Biotech has been choppy since the inception of those ETFs, unlike, say, semi’s, which have just been straight up. Hell, the easiest trade was just to buy SVXY and sit tight from the start of 2016 onwards but you need to be a person with more knowledge and experience than me to make that call.
Plus, vol trades need constant monitoring, which is a massive pain in the ass unless you’re making sufficient $$$ to make it worth your while. Better SOXL in that respect.
SVXY wasn’t the easiest trade, what I’ve said is completely wrong. What it was, was a *highly* profitable trade.
I’m not good at explaining things, which is why I unusually just post charts.