IF 1952 SPX holds…
Expecting huge rally back to 2040 SPX for a back test. This should be our catalyst for the miner flush? At 2040 SPX, the market continues down, while GDX has bottomed ready for the ascent. What does everyone think?
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I find it significant that JDST and DUST since late Thursday have been going up while gold was continuing to go up. It’s almost like they reached their limit (a hard bottom) and a higher price for gold seems to be inspiring less confidence in mining stocks. That’s got to be the most bearish sign of all I would think; higher gold = lower miners.
Agree Tim, I am smelling capitulation right around the corner…
I Dunno Eagle S&P Futures Down very hard so far tonite
The next support I have is near the October 2014 lows of 1820 should we not stabilize right now at above 1905 on the s and p. Vicious selling.
Yikes…so much for 1952
Eagle you waiting on the 13/34 cross before making a decision to enter DUST?
UVXY up 70% on premarket trading:
http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/uvxy/real-time
Tim, can you believe I sold Friday…Anyways, the tide has turned–with a vengeance!
Hey, it’s not so bad. It dropped down to 52% by market open. There ought to be a volatility etf for volatility etfs…
Just remember the bollinger band constriction…how high it goes remains a mystery!
Tim, can also play UVXY with the 5 minute chart just using the 13/34 EMA crosses…Just watch it.
My plan was to draw a channel on the 1 minute chart and if it’s going up watch for a 13/34 crossup and afterwards watch for a combination of breaches: 13 ema, channel border, 34 ema. Sell signal would be when it breaches the bottom of the channel as well as the 34 ema. I don’t have a good feel for the bollinger bands but I take it they’re worth watching as they are good setups for a jump when, and only when, the trend (60 min chart) is up. Buying without waiting for a precise setup I think (actually, I know) is just asking for trouble. I think I said once that some etfs give a whole week’s worth of trading in a day, but UVXY looks like it can give a whole year’s worth.
I bought JDST at 9.60 when it broke out on the 5 min chart just after market open. I thought that trumped a 13/34 cross on the 60 since the 45 was almost there. It worked out okay but I might regret holding it overnight instead of selling. I still think gold is going to drop like a rock soon. It’s my opinion that the stock market has been pushing gold stocks around and that’s making the projections more complicated.
The 1/2 gap on DUST needs to breach…I often get myself in trouble trying to manage too many volatile trades at once on several accounts…DANGEROUS. Annotating charts, trying to interpret different charts, etc.
I usually trade just one asset at a time for that reason. Right now there’s so many good shorting opportunities that even trading Natural Gas looks simple but I don’t feel confident trading two unless the second one is a day trade thing and you’re only in it while you can watch it continuously. Two different time scales.
Interestingly, JDST 60 has already filled the equivalent DUST 60 gap on its chart, although it pulled back a bit after doing so. Which sounds like it’s acting as resistance. A forerunner for DUST maybe. The gold 60 TSI and Stochastic look very weak. The miners have two enemies now.
Eyeing SPX 1952 for a possible back test…watching UVXY–we still have Sept and Oct to hit it really big…:-)